乌鲁木齐市旅游产业与区域经济耦合协调发展研究

发布时间：2018-01-18 14:35

本文关键词：乌鲁木齐市旅游产业与区域经济耦合协调发展研究　出处：《石河子大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：近些年,乌鲁木齐市政府愈来愈关注旅游产业的发展,为了促进乌鲁木齐市国民经济的发展,国家旅游局和援疆的各省市都对乌鲁木齐市的旅游产业做出了大力支持。然而,在一个地区的发展过程中,旅游产业与区域经济相互促进的程度却不完全成正比例关系,区域经济大力支持旅游产业的同时,旅游产业不一定能够给予区域经济更好的回馈。综合分析乌鲁木齐市旅游产业和区域经济的发展现状,探索乌鲁木齐市旅游产业与区域经济耦合协调的程度,可以促进乌鲁木齐市旅游产业与区域经济协调发展,从而充分发挥其作为新疆首府的增长极作用,带动全区的发展。本文以乌鲁木齐市为研究对象,根据区域经济发展理论、产业结构演变理论等,定性分析了乌鲁木齐市旅游产业与区域经济协调发展的现实基础,借鉴已有学者的研究整理出旅游产业与区域经济相互作用的机理,主要依据耦合协调度理论建立旅游产业与区域经济的耦合协调度模型,利用数理统计的方法探讨2005-2014年乌鲁木齐市旅游产业与区域经济耦合协调的状况,并运用灰色关联法分析旅游产业和区域经济各自的综合效益与内部因素之间的关联程度,为乌鲁木齐市旅游产业与区域经济的耦合协调发展提供依据。研究结果表明:第一,乌鲁木齐市旅游产业和区域经济的发展都易受到突发事件的影响,并且旅游产业受到的影响比区域经济大,然而旅游产业在突发事件后的恢复速度要比区域经济快。第二,十年来,乌鲁木齐市旅游产业与区域经济的耦合度一直保持在0.95以上,二者的耦合度总体上非常稳定,耦合状况良好,相互依存。第三,2011年以来,乌鲁木齐市旅游产业的发展相对缓慢,并且在2014年出现了下降的趋势,虽然没有影响到与区域经济的耦合协调程度,但在未来几年的发展中仍需注重。旅游产业与区域经济的耦合协调度经历了三个阶段:2005-2007年,旅游产业与区域经济之间的耦合协调度由轻度失调经濒临失调,最后转变为勉强协调;2008年和2009年,这两年受到金融危机和“七五”事件的影响,二者的耦合协调度由勉强协调转变为轻度失调;2010-2014年,该时期在政策的支持下,二者的耦合协调度经历了勉强协调、中级协调到良好协调。第四,入境旅游收入对旅游产业综合效益的影响最大,各因素与旅游产业综合效益的关联度差异不大;互联网用户数对区域经济综合效益的影响最大,限额以上餐饮业法人企业数对其影响最小,各因素与区域经济综合效益的关联度差异较大。第五,为实现乌鲁木齐市旅游产业与区域经济达到优质协调的状态,结合耦合协调度和灰色关联度的分析结果,提出了四点建议:加强社会稳定,提高安全保障能力;重视区域合作,加快入境旅游发展;坚持政府主导,加大旅游投资力度;结合市场需求,培育旅游新业态。
[Abstract]:In recent years, Urumqi municipal government has paid more and more attention to the development of tourism industry, in order to promote the development of the national economy of Urumqi. The National Tourism Administration and various provinces and cities in Xinjiang have made great efforts to support the tourism industry in Urumqi. However, in the process of development of a region. However, the degree of mutual promotion between tourism industry and regional economy is not completely proportional, while the regional economy strongly supports tourism industry at the same time. Tourism industry may not be able to give better feedback to the regional economy. Comprehensive analysis of the development of tourism industry and regional economy in Urumqi, explore the degree of coordination between tourism industry and regional economy in Urumqi. It can promote the coordinated development of tourism industry and regional economy in Urumqi, so as to give full play to its role as the growth pole of the capital of Xinjiang, and promote the development of the whole region. This paper takes Urumqi as the research object. According to the theory of regional economic development and the theory of industrial structure evolution, this paper qualitatively analyzes the realistic basis of the coordinated development of tourism industry and regional economy in Urumqi. Draw lessons from the existing scholars to sort out the mechanism of interaction between tourism industry and regional economy, mainly based on the coupling coordination degree theory to establish the tourism industry and regional economy coupling coordination degree model. This paper discusses the coupling and coordination of tourism industry and regional economy in Urumqi from 2005 to 2014 by means of mathematical statistics. And the grey correlation method is used to analyze the degree of correlation between the comprehensive benefits of tourism industry and regional economy and internal factors. The results show that: first, Urumqi tourism industry and the development of regional economy are vulnerable to the impact of unexpected events. And the tourism industry is affected more than the regional economy, however, the recovery rate of the tourism industry is faster than that of the regional economy after the sudden events. Second, in the past ten years. Urumqi tourism industry and regional economy of the coupling degree has been maintained at more than 0.95, the coupling degree of the two is generally very stable, coupling condition is good, interdependent. Third, since 2011. The development of tourism industry in Urumqi is relatively slow, and in 2014 there was a downward trend, although it did not affect the degree of coupling and coordination with the regional economy. However, in the next few years, we still need to pay attention to the coupling and coordination degree between tourism industry and regional economy, which has experienced three stages: 2005-2007. The degree of coupling and coordination between tourism industry and regional economy has changed from slight maladjustment to barely coordination. In 2008 and 2009, affected by the financial crisis and the "Seventh Five-Year" incident, the degree of coupling coordination between the two changed from barely coordination to slight imbalance. During the period 2010-2014, with the support of policy, the degree of coupling and coordination between the two had been barely coordinated, from intermediate to good coordination. 4th. The impact of inbound tourism income on the comprehensive benefits of tourism industry is the greatest, and the correlation degree between the factors and the comprehensive benefits of tourism industry is not significant; The number of Internet users has the greatest impact on the comprehensive benefits of regional economy, and the number of corporate enterprises in the catering industry above the quota has the least impact on it, and the correlation degree between the factors and the comprehensive benefits of regional economy is quite different. 5th. In order to achieve high quality coordination between tourism industry and regional economy in Urumqi, combined with the analysis results of coupling coordination degree and grey correlation degree, four suggestions are put forward: strengthening social stability and improving safety and security ability; Attach importance to regional cooperation and accelerate the development of inbound tourism; Adhere to the government-led, increase the intensity of tourism investment; Combine the market demand, cultivate the new form of tourism.
【学位授予单位】：石河子大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127;F592.7

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