近14年中国入境旅游市场的自然性增长分析

发布时间：2018-03-06 16:10

本文选题：入境旅游市场　切入点：占比法　出处：《资源开发与市场》2017年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：基于入境旅游市场的属性结构视角,提出入境旅游自然性、竞争性和混合性市场及这三种增长的概念。根据2001—2015年我国入境外国旅游者总人次与目的结构数据,采用增量占比法对2002—2015年我国入境旅游市场自然性增长的历时性与结构演变进行分析,最终得出近14年我国入境旅游市场的增长主要得益于自然性增长,增量占比年均为50.33%,大国优势是促成这一增长特征的主要原因,且未来很长时间内这一格局不会发生明显改变。从目的结构来看,自然性增长主要源自其他、会议/商务、服务员工旅游群体的增长;从目的与空间交叉分析来看,自然性增长多来自亚洲主要客源国但国别间呈现出明显差异,我国得天独厚的地缘优势和"主、客"双边关系差异是导致这一特征的主要原因。
[Abstract]:Based on the view of attribute structure of inbound tourism market, this paper puts forward the concepts of natural, competitive and mixed markets of inbound tourism and these three kinds of growth. According to the data of total number and purpose of inbound foreign tourists from 2001 to 2015, This paper analyzes the diachronic and structural evolution of the natural growth of the inbound tourism market in China from 2002 to 2015 by using the incremental share method. Finally, it is concluded that the growth of the inbound tourism market in China in the last 14 years is mainly due to the natural growth. The incremental share is 50.33 a year, and the dominant power is the main factor contributing to this growth feature, and this pattern will not change significantly for a long time to come. From the perspective of the objective structure, natural growth is mainly derived from other, conference / business, From the cross-analysis of purpose and space, the natural growth comes from the main source countries of Asia, but there are obvious differences between countries. The difference in bilateral relations is the main reason for this feature.
【作者单位】：陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院;四川信息职业技术学院经济与管理系;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“旅游流与目的地耦合——因素、模型与机制研究”(编号:41271158)
【分类号】：F592.3

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