出境旅游需求的影响因素——兼论发展中经济体与发达经济体的异同

发布时间：2018-03-15 04:24

本文选题：出境旅游　切入点：旅游需求　出处：《旅游学刊》2017年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：根据微观经济学的需求理论,结合相关研究进展,文章构建了包括基本经济因素(收入和相对价格)、对外开放度、旅游业发展水平、人口统计特征、突发事件等变量在内的出境旅游需求模型,以74个国家/地区1995—2013年的数据为样本,分析了发达经济体和发展中经济体出境旅游需求影响因素的总体特征与异同。结果表明,收入和价格是影响出境旅游需求的决定性因素,对外开放度、旅游业发展水平、人口统计特征及突发事件等其他因素对出境旅游需求同样具有一定的影响。其中,收入、价格以及产业发展水平对发展中经济体出境旅游需求的影响作用相对更大,而对外开放度和人口统计特征(就业水平、年龄结构和受教育水平)对发达经济体出境旅游需求的影响更加显著。
[Abstract]:According to the demand theory of microeconomics and related research progress, the paper constructs basic economic factors (income and relative price, degree of opening to the outside world, tourism development level, demographic characteristics). Based on the data of 74 countries and regions from 1995 to 2013, the paper analyzes the general characteristics and similarities and differences of the factors influencing the outbound tourism demand in developed and developing economies. Income and price are the decisive factors affecting the demand for outbound tourism. Other factors, such as the degree of opening up, the level of tourism development, demographic characteristics and unexpected events, also have certain effects on the demand for outbound tourism. Among them, income, Prices and the level of industrial development have a relatively greater impact on outbound tourism demand in developing economies, while openness and demographics (employment levels, The effect of age structure and education level on the demand for outbound tourism in developed economies is more significant.
【作者单位】：中国旅游研究院;
【基金】：国家“万人计划”青年拔尖人才课题“中国出境旅游流的决定因素与效应研究” 国家旅游局科研立项重点项目“中国出境旅游流的决定因素:整合制度、贸易与交通的经验分析”(14TACK009)和国家旅游局旅游业青年专家培养计划课题“旅游流与旅游效应”(TYEPT201404)共同资助~~
【分类号】：F592

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