人民币汇率波动对云南省旅游业及主要市场双边贸易影响的实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-28 05:39

本文选题：人民币汇率波动　切入点：云南省　出处：《云南师范大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：旅游业是云南省的支柱产业之一，发展至今已经形成了自己独有的特色，在要把旅游业打造为“战略型支柱产业”、进一步实施“桥头堡”战略和启动云南和广西两省的沿边(边境)金融综合改革试验区的宏观背景下，云南省旅游业发展迎来了新的机遇和挑战。借助地处西南边疆的地缘优势，多年来云南省与各国间旅游贸易往来频繁，而汇率作为衡量两国间贸易往来的工具，便成为了影响云南省旅游业发展的重要因素。近年来随着人民币汇率的波动，给云南省旅游业的发展带来了深远的影响。二次汇改后，汇率通过影响云南省旅游业的外汇收入总值，影响着云南省的生产总值，，其中，旅游外汇收入从2005年5.28亿美元增至2012年的19.47亿美元，为云南省旅游业带来了近十个百分点的贡献。所以，展开人民币汇率波动对云南省旅游业的发展影响的研究具有明显的区域理论与实践意义。本文从人民币汇率波动对旅游业影响新视角出发，在剖析云南省旅游业发展的时空发展特征基础上，分析云南省旅游业发展的外贸背景条件。筛选和构建人民币汇率波动对云南省旅游业发展的影响因子和模型，评价人民币汇率波动对主要市场双边贸易的影响，并提出云南省旅游业发展的对应思路与对策建议，以期为云南省旅游业可持续发展提供一种理论视角和区域实践依据。
[Abstract]:Tourism is one of the pillar industries in Yunnan Province, and its development has formed its own unique characteristics. In the context of developing tourism into a "strategic pillar industry", further implementing the "bridgehead" strategy and launching the border (border) financial comprehensive reform pilot areas in Yunnan and Guangxi provinces, The development of tourism in Yunnan Province has ushered in new opportunities and challenges. With the help of the geographical advantage of being located on the southwest border, Yunnan has had frequent tourism trade with other countries for many years, and the exchange rate has been used as a tool to measure the trade between the two countries. This has become an important factor affecting the development of tourism in Yunnan Province. In recent years, with the fluctuation of the RMB exchange rate, it has had a profound impact on the development of the tourism industry in Yunnan Province. After the second exchange rate reform, The exchange rate affects Yunnan's gross domestic product by influencing the total foreign exchange earnings of the tourism industry in Yunnan Province, of which foreign exchange earnings from tourism increased from 528 million US dollars in 2005 to 1.947 billion US dollars in 2012. Therefore, the research on the impact of RMB exchange rate fluctuation on the development of tourism industry in Yunnan Province has obvious regional theoretical and practical significance. From a new perspective of the impact of RMB exchange rate fluctuation on tourism, this paper analyzes the space-time development characteristics of tourism in Yunnan Province. This paper analyzes the foreign trade background conditions of tourism development in Yunnan Province, selects and builds the influencing factors and models of RMB exchange rate fluctuations on the tourism development of Yunnan Province, and evaluates the impact of RMB exchange rate fluctuations on bilateral trade in major markets. The corresponding ideas and countermeasures of Yunnan tourism development are put forward in order to provide a theoretical perspective and regional practical basis for the sustainable development of Yunnan tourism industry.
【学位授予单位】：云南师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.6;F592.7;F752.8

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