2000-2011年中国主要旅游城市全要素生产率评价

发布时间：2018-05-30 00:16

本文选题：曼奎斯特指数 + 旅游城市　；参考：《资源科学》2014年08期

【摘要】：历时性绩效分析可以对一定时期决策单元的生产过程进行全面评价。城市是我国旅游产业发展的主要依托载体和基本行政单元,评价城市的旅游发展效率水平对不同类型城市选择针对性发展战略具有重要意义。基于数据包络分析方法(Data Envelopment Analysis,以下简称DEA)的相关模型,以曼奎斯特(Malmquist)指数为指标,对中国58个主要城市2000-2011年期间的旅游全要素生产率进行了评价。结果表明,该时期大多数城市的旅游全要素生产率及其分解的技术变化以增长为主要特征,但效率变化以下降为主要特征。且效率变化与全要素生产率的变化保持了高度的一致性,但从影响程度上看,技术变化对全要素生产率增长的贡献大于效率变化。从空间格局上看,西部地区城市旅游的全要素生产率水平高于东部地区、东北地区和中部地区;效率变化呈现出与全要素生产率变化一致的特征,但技术变化则呈现东部、东北、中部和西部依次递减的特征。本文从城市旅游发展的阶段特征出发,对上述结果形成的过程和机理进行了分析,认为旅游产业的低技术本质和区域经济发展的不平衡性是影响上述结构形成的根本原因。最后,将58个城市按照分解特性分为4个象限,并就每个象限城市的旅游发展策略进行了讨论。
[Abstract]:Diachronic performance analysis can make a comprehensive evaluation of the production process of a certain period decision unit. City is the main support carrier and basic administrative unit for the development of China's tourism industry. The evaluation of the efficiency level of the city's tourism development is of great significance to the selection of different types of cities for the targeted development strategy. The correlation model of Data Envelopment Analysis (hereinafter referred to as DEA) is used to evaluate the total factor productivity of tourism in 58 major cities in China for the period of 2000-2011 years. The results show that the total factor productivity of tourism in most cities and the technological changes of their decomposition are mainly increased in the period of this period. However, the change of efficiency and the change of total factor productivity maintain a high consistency, but the contribution of the technological change to the growth of the total factor productivity is greater than the change of efficiency. From the spatial pattern, the total factor productivity level of the urban tourism in the western region is higher than that in the East. In the ministry area, the northeast region and the central region, the efficiency change shows the characteristics that are consistent with the change of the total factor productivity, but the technological change presents the characteristics of decreasing in order in the eastern, northeast, central and western regions. This paper, starting from the stage characteristics of urban tourism development, analyzes the process and mechanism of the above results, and thinks that the tourism industry is in the tourism industry. The essence of the low technology and the imbalance of regional economic development are the fundamental reasons for the formation of the above structure. Finally, the 58 cities are divided into 4 quadrants according to the decomposition characteristics, and the tourism development strategy of each quadrant city is discussed.
【作者单位】：中国旅游研究院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金(编号:41101146)
【分类号】：F592;F224

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