产业结构变迁、旅游业与经济增长——来自中国的经验证据

发布时间：2018-06-13 07:09

本文选题：旅游业 + 产业结构合理化　；参考：《资源科学》2017年10期

【摘要】：既有关于旅游业导向型经济增长假说的经验研究,由于忽视了产业结构变迁的动态性,从而会导致对旅游业影响经济增长效应的估计偏误。因此,本文在定量测度中国各省产业结构变迁基础上,将旅游业、产业结构变迁与经济增长纳入到统一分析框架进行实证考察,以拓展旅游业导向型经济增长假说的研究体系。研究结果表明:(1)以泰尔指数反向度量的产业结构合理化对经济增长具有抑制作用,而产业结构高级化则对经济增长具有积极作用,并且产业结构高级化对经济增长的"结构效应"要大于产业结构合理化对经济增长的"失衡效应";(2)中国旅游业对经济增长具有显著的正向影响,与此同时,产业结构欠缺合理化抑制了旅游业对经济增长的影响效应,而产业结构高级化可正向调节旅游业对经济增长的影响效应。本文认为,政府在进行产业结构调整时,除应着重强调产业结构高级化的同时,还需高度关注产业结构合理化,从而为发挥产业结构变迁对旅游业影响经济增长的正向调节作用创造条件。
[Abstract]:The empirical research on the hypothesis of tourism-oriented economic growth has neglected the dynamic nature of the changes of industrial structure, which will lead to the bias of the estimation of the effect of tourism on economic growth. Therefore, on the basis of quantitative measurement of the changes of industrial structure in various provinces of China, this paper takes tourism, industrial structure change and economic growth into the unified analytical framework for empirical investigation, in order to expand the research system of the tourism-oriented economic growth hypothesis. The research results show that the rationalization of industrial structure measured by Tyr index in reverse direction can restrain the economic growth, while the advanced industrial structure has a positive effect on the economic growth. Moreover, the "structural effect" of the advanced industrial structure on the economic growth is greater than the "unbalanced effect" of the rationalization of the industrial structure on the economic growth. (2) the tourism industry in China has a significant positive impact on economic growth, at the same time, The lack of rationalization of industrial structure inhibits the impact of tourism on economic growth, while the higher industrial structure can positively regulate the impact of tourism on economic growth. This paper holds that the government should pay more attention to the rationalization of the industrial structure while emphasizing the upgrading of the industrial structure in order to adjust the industrial structure. Thus, it creates conditions for exerting the positive regulating effect of the industrial structure change on the economic growth of the tourism industry.
【作者单位】：浙江工业大学经贸管理学院;北京第二外国语学院旅游管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目(14CGL023) 国家自然科学基金项目(41301161) 北京市属高校高水平教师队伍建设支持计划青年拔尖人才培育计划项目(CIT&TCD201704067)
【分类号】：F121.3;F124.1;F592

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