浙江省县域入境旅游时空跃迁特征及驱动机制
本文关键词：基于旅游产业链延伸视角的县域旅游地演化研究，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。
[1] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">黄震方, <name lang="CN">陆林, <name lang="CN">苏勤, <etal lang="CN">等. 新型城镇化背景下的乡村旅游发展: 理论反思与困境突破. 地理研究, <year>2015, <volume>34(8): <fpage>1409-<lpage>1412.
Huang <given-names>Zhenfang, <name>Lu <given-names>Lin, <name>Su <given-names>Qing, <etal>et al.Research and development of rural tourism under the background of new urbanization: Theoretical reflection and breakthrough of predicament. Geographical Research, <year>2015, <volume>34(8): <fpage>1409-<lpage>1412.]
[2] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">卢小丽, <name lang="CN">成宇行, <name lang="CN">王立伟. 国内外乡村旅游研究热点: 近20年文献回顾. 资源科学, <year>2014, <volume>36(1): <fpage>200-<lpage>205.
乡村旅游是后现代社会人们回归 自然的载体和农村经济发展的新增长点。自从1994年可持续旅游期刊发专刊对乡村旅游进行系统研究至今已有近20年的时间。为了更好地把握乡村旅游的研究 脉络,本文通过对近20年国内外有关乡村旅游研究文献的研读,分析了乡村旅游的发展现状,并着重对乡村旅游发展的影响因素、利益相关者、驱动机制、地理空 间结构和旅游企业管理等问题进行系统梳理。结果发现:尽管乡村旅游的研究遵循了旅游研究的热点问题,但对突出乡村旅游主要功能特色和旅游乡村性的研究欠 缺。乡村旅游发展影响因素、乡村旅游利益相关者和乡村旅游企业管理等研究主题是国外学者关注的热点,国内学者更侧重于研究乡村旅游的地理空间结构和驱动机 制问题。数学模型和统计方法在中国乡村旅游的研究中比较缺乏,导致结论的科学性和可行性受到限制。采用实证分析或定量分析等规范的研究方法扩展乡村旅游的 研究领域,提升乡村旅游活动中的乡村性,解决乡村旅游发展中的热点问题成为中国乡村旅游研究的发展趋势。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Lu <given-names>Xiaoli, <name>Cheng <given-names>Yuhang, <name>Wang <given-names>Liwei.20 Years of rural tourism. Resources Science, <year>2014, <volume>36(1): <fpage>200-<lpage>205.] [3] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Dwyer <given-names>L, <name>Forsyth <given-names>P.Assessing the benefits and costs of inbound tourism. Annals of Tourism Research, <year>1993, <volume>20(4): <fpage>751-<lpage>768.Une évaluation des co04ts et des bénéfices du tourisme international. Les touristes étrangers apportent des co04ts aussi bien que des bénéfices à n'importe quel pays de destination. Pour des raisons de politique générale, il faut évaluer avec précision les bénéfices nets du tourisme international pour le pays en question. En prenant l'Australie comme exemple précis, le présent article explique pourquoi les dépenses brutes des touristes étrangers exagèrent les bénéfices du tourisme international. En second lieu, l'article identifie des distorsions qui existent à un certain degré dans toutes les éonomies et qui ont des conséquences sur les bénéfices nationaux nets du tourisme international. Ces distortions proviennent des facteurs suivants: taxes, imp00ts, subventions, pouvoir au marché, influences extérieures, et des effets des tarifs, revenus, marché du travail et marché d'échanges.
DOI: 10.1016/0160-7383(93)90095-K
[4] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Sam <given-names>M.The role of inbound tourism in the Singaporean economy: A computable general equilibrium (CGE) Assessment. Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing, <year>2014, <volume>31(8): <fpage>1071-<lpage>1089.This study has employed recently published input-output (I-O) tables and tourism survey data and built a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, to assess the role of inbound tourism in the Singaporean economy and thus to reveal its implications for tourism marketing. Compared with the I-O analysis, the CGE modeling takes into account the feedback effect in the economy and thus produces mor...
DOI: 10.1080/10548408.2014.895693
[5] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Faruk <given-names>B, <name>Hatice O <given-names>B, <name>Kemal <given-names>C.Impacts of exported Turkish soap operas and visa-free entry on inbound tourism to Turkey. Tourism Management, <year>2013, <volume>37(8): <fpage>186-<lpage>192. [6] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Neelu <given-names>S.Immigration and international inbound tourism: Empirical evidence from Australia. Tourism Management, <year>2012, <volume>33(6): <fpage>1535-<lpage>1543.Immigration can potentially influence tourism flows. However, in spite of the vast number of studies on tourism demand modelling, the immigration-tourism linkage has not received much attention in the empirical literature. This paper seeks to address this gap. A dynamic demand model is developed and estimated using data from 1980 to 2008 for the 15 main markets of Australia. The explanatory variables included are income, own price, price of a substitute destination, airfare and immigration. The estimation results empirically establish the connection between immigration and inbound tourism. The short run and long-run immigration elasticities generated are 0.028 and 0.09 respectively. Additionally this paper demonstrates that omission of prices of substitutes affects the value of the own price elasticity of demand. The results have implications for future research and for stakeholders who can improve the efficiency of their planning exercises by taking into account additional information on immigration trends.
DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2012.02.010
[7] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Vietze, Christoph.Cultural effects on inbound tourism into the USA: A gravity approach. Tourism Economics, <year>2012, <volume>18(1): <fpage>121-<lpage>138.This paper addresses the effects of cultural, and particularly religious, factors on tourist flows into the USA, the world's most popular tourist destination. To estimate this empirically, the author runs an augmented gravity equation. The results provide evidence that cultural proximity between country of origin and country of destination has positive effects on the tourism flows between those countries. In particular, after controlling for a set of geographical variables, more people from countries with the same language (English) and high governmental rankings comparable to that of the USA travel to the USA for holidays than people from other countries. Above all, there is strong evidence that tourists from Christian countries prefer the USA as a holiday destination much more than people from other countries. This finding is stable across model specifications and supports the argument that people wish to go on vacation to countries with similar cultural and political backgrounds to their own.
DOI: 10.5367/te.2012.0100
[8] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Liu Y <given-names>D.Image-based segmentation of cultural tourism market: The perceptions of Taiwan's inbound visitors. Asia Pacific Journal of Tourism Research, <year>2014, <volume>19(8): <fpage>971-<lpage>987.ABSTRACT This paper aims at testing the effectiveness of using an image-based approach to segment the cultural tourism market. Identifying 14 image attributes of cultural attractions, Taiwan's inbound tourists were then surveyed to rate the importance of these attributes. Applying a factor–cluster segmentation approach, four discrete image segments were identified, including arts and museum, heritage, living culture, and resulted in a sample of 954 respondents. The research findings reveal several theoretical and empirical implications, including the propositions of cultural distance, omnivorous/univorous, experiential and informational familiarity of destination and the two-dimensional model of cultural tourist typology.
DOI: 10.1080/10941665.2013.833124
[9] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Khadaroo <given-names>J, <name>Seetanah <given-names>B.The role of transport infrastructure in international tourism development: A gravity model approach. Tourism Management, <year>2008, <volume>29(5): <fpage>831-<lpage>840.Athanasopoulos <given-names>G.Modelling Australian domestic and international inbound travel: A spatial-temporal approach. Tourism Management, <year>2011, <volume>32(5): <fpage>1075-<lpage>1084.
In this paper Australian domestic and international inbound travel are modelled by an anisotropic dynamic spatial lag panel Origin-Destination (OD) travel flow model. Spatial OD travel flow models have traditionally been applied in a single cross-sectional context, where the spatial structure is assumed to have reached its long run equilibrium and temporal dynamics are not explicitly considered. On the other hand, spatial effects are rarely accounted for in traditional tourism demand modelling. We attempt to address this dichotomy between spatial modelling and time series modelling in tourism research by using a spatial-temporal model. In particular, tourism behaviour is modelled as travel flows between regions. Temporal dependencies are accounted for via the inclusion of autoregressive components, while spatial autocorrelations are explicitly accounted for at both the origin and the destination. We allow the strength of spatial autocorrelation to exhibit seasonal variations, and we allow for the possibility of asymmetry between capital-city neighbours and non-capital-city neighbours. Significant temporal and spatial dynamics have been uncovered for both domestic and international tourism demand. For example we find strong seasonal temporal autocorrelations, significant trends and significant spatial autocorrelations at both the origin and the destination. Moreover, the spatial patterns are found to be most significant during peak holiday seasons. Understanding these patterns in tourist behaviour has important implications for tourism operators. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2010.09.006
[11] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Song H <given-names>Y, <name>Witt S <given-names>F.Forecasting international tourist flows to Macau. Tourism Management, <year>2006, <volume>27(2): <fpage>214-<lpage>224.The vector autoregressive (VAR) modelling technique is used to forecast tourist flows to Macau from eight major origin countries/regions over the period 2003–2008. The existing literature shows that the VAR model is capable of producing accurate medium- to long-term forecasts, and also separate forecasts of the explanatory variables are not required. A further justification for using the VAR technique is that it permits an impulse response analysis to be performed in order to examine the ways in which the demand for Macau tourism responds to the ‘shocks’ in the economic variables within the VAR system. The implications of this analysis are discussed. The forecasts generated by the VAR models suggest that Macau will face increasing tourism demand by residents from mainland China. Since the needs of Chinese tourists tend to be different from those from other origin countries/regions, especially Western countries, the business sectors in Macau need to pay considerable attention to catering for the needs of Chinese tourists.
DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2004.09.004
[12] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">马耀峰, <name lang="CN">林志慧, <name lang="CN">刘宪锋, <etal lang="CN">等. 中国主要城市入境旅游网络结构演变分析. 地理科学, <year>2014, <volume>34(1): <fpage>25-<lpage>31.Ma <given-names>Yaofeng, <name>Lin <given-names>Zhihui, <name>Liu <given-names>Xianfeng, <etal>et al.The evolution of network structure of inbound tourist in Major cities of China. Geographica Sinica, <year>2014, <volume>34(1): <fpage>25-<lpage>31.] [13] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">郭永锐, <name lang="CN">张捷, <name lang="CN">卢韶婧, <etal lang="CN">等. 中国入境旅游经济空间格局的时空动态性. 地理科学, <year>2014, <volume>34(11): <fpage>1299-<lpage>1304.
Guo <given-names>Yongrui, <name>Zhang <given-names>Jie, <name>Lu <given-names>Shaojing, <etal>et al.Spatial-temporal change of the inbound tourism economic development in China. Geographica Sinica, <year>2014, <volume>34(11): <fpage>1299-<lpage>1304.] [14] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">张静儒, <name lang="CN">陈映臻, <name lang="CN">曾祺, <etal lang="CN">等. 国家视角下的目的地形象模型: 基于来华国际游客的实证研究. 旅游学刊, <year>2015, <volume>30(3): <fpage>13-<lpage>22.
国家形象和目的地形象因其对消费者行为和决策的重要影响，分别发展成为国际商务领域和旅游营销领域的重要概念和研究热点，虽然两者具有十分密切的内在联系，但学界对它们的研究却相对独立，缺少交叉研究。该研究在对两个领域的文献和理论模型进行整理后，将目的地形象放置到国家尺度下重新审视，试图揭示一个国家的综合国家形象与其作为旅游目的地的形象之间的互动机制，并尝试引入“熟悉度”等概念建立整合模型。最后以中国大陆为案例地，以来华国际游客为调查对象，通过结构方程模型进行实证检验和修正。结论指出：（1）熟悉度对目的地形象有正向影响；（2）国家形象与目的地形象之间具有双向且正向的影响；（3）国家形象通过目的地形象对游客的忠诚度产生间接影响。
DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-5006.2015.03.002
<mixed-citation>[<name>Zhang <given-names>Jingru, <name>Chen <given-names>Yingzhen, <name>Zeng <given-names>Qi.An integrative model of destination image in a country context: A case study based on international tourists in Beijing. Tourism Tribune, <year>2015, <volume>30(3): <fpage>13-<lpage>22.] [15] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">万绪才, <name lang="CN">王厚廷, <name lang="CN">傅朝霞, <etal lang="CN">等. 中国城市入境旅游发展差异及其影响因素: 以重点旅游城市为例. 地理研究, <year>2013, <volume>32(2): <fpage>337-<lpage>346.对中国城市入境旅游发展差异性进行探析,并揭示其影响因素,为城市入境旅游发展实践提供理论依据。选取入境游客人天数作为入境旅游发展水平的衡量指标,采用均值比率对中国重点旅游城市入境旅游发展的差异现状进行分析,运用多元线性回归法研究旅游产品、知名度、区位条件和对外经济等因素对中国城市入境旅游发展的影响和作用。结果表明:目前中国城市入境旅游发展差异很大,区域集中性非常突出,入境旅游发展较好的城市大多位于东部地区;对外经济因素对城市入境旅游的发展影响最大,知名度次之,旅游产品和区位距离的作用较小。
DOI: 10.11821/yj2013020014
<mixed-citation>[<name>Wan <given-names>Xucai, <name>Wang <given-names>Houting, <name>Fu <given-names>Chaoxia, <etal>et al.The intercity difference and influencing factors of inbound tourism development in China: Taking the major tourism cities as an example. Geographical Research, <year>2013, <volume>32(2): <fpage>337-<lpage>346.] [16] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">吴良平, <name lang="CN">张健, <name lang="CN">陆媛. 基于IOWHA算子的组合预测在中国入境旅游中的应用分析. 旅游学刊, <year>2011, <volume>26(11): <fpage>19-<lpage>27.［摘要］为提高中国入境旅游人数月度数据序列预测精度，文章选择了目前相对最优单项预测模型 ——TRAMO/SEATS短记忆预测模型和ARFIMA长记忆预测模型，，并根据中国入境旅游人数月度数据序列特点，采用非常适合中国入境旅游人数月度数据序列预测并具有高预测精度的传统线性回归预测模型，然后将各个单项预测模型进行基于IOWHA算子的组合。研究发现：基于IOWHA算子的组合预测模型，达到了目前为止中国入境旅游人数月度数据序列预测的最高精度。最后，根据中国入境旅游人数实际值和组合模型预测值的比较，定量分析世界金融危机等事件对中国入境旅游的影响程度和影响时滞，并探究中国入境旅游未来的发展趋势。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Wu <given-names>Liangping, <name>Zhang <given-names>Jian, <name>Lu <given-names>Yuan.An analysis of the application of combined forecast in China's inbound tourism based on IOWHA operator. Tourism Tribune, <year>2011, <volume>26(11): <fpage>19-<lpage>27.] [17] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">王辉, <name lang="CN">张萌, <name lang="CN">石莹, <etal lang="CN">等. 中国海岛县的旅游经济集中度与差异化. 地理研究, <year>2013, <volume>32(4): <fpage>776-<lpage>784.旅游经济集中度与差异化分析是对旅游在特定区域发展的重视程度及发展现况的研究,从而获取发展正确方向及合作对象的重要衡量方法。海岛具有相对独立的地域特征,旅游发展在岛域地域系统中具有特殊的相似性及差异性。选取2006-2010年中国12个海岛县旅游业发展相关数据,采用区位熵和Theil指数方法分别对我国海岛县旅游业集中度和时间尺度上的省市间、省市内和总体差异变化状况进行计算。结果表明:①中国海岛县整体旅游业态发展不均衡,旅游业态集中化程度较低,在海岛县域的专业性整体优势不强,但可提升空间较大;②福建省入岛旅游总收入差异呈下降趋势,浙江省呈升高趋势,说明福建省海岛旅游业正向均衡方向发展,入岛旅游总收入的Theil系数由2006年福建省大于浙江省转变到2010年浙江省大于福建省,两省入岛旅游总收入差异正在逐渐弱化;③各海岛县间的差异及海岛县隶属省市的差异都在增大,组内差异与组间差异差距不大,但相互波动频繁,隶属省内海岛县的差异和省间的差异都是造成中国海岛县发展差异的主要原因。
DOI: 10.11821/yj2013040020
<mixed-citation>[<name>Wang <given-names>Hui, <name>Zhang <given-names>Meng, <name>Shi <given-names>Ying, <etal>et al.Concentration and differentiation of tourism economy in island counties, China. Geographical Research, <year>2013, <volume>32(4): <fpage>776-<lpage>784.] [18] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">钟林生, <name lang="CN">张生瑞, <name lang="CN">时雨晴, <etal lang="CN">等. 中国陆地边境县域旅游资源特征评价及其开发策略. 资源科学, <year>2014, <volume>36(3): <fpage>1117-<lpage>1124.我国长达2.2万km的陆地边 境沿线分布有不同类型的旅游资源,极具开发利用潜力。本文依据国家标准《旅游资源分类、调查与评价》(GB/T18972-2003)(文中简称《标准 (GB/T18972-2003)》),梳理了我国9省(自治区)的136个陆地边境县域内的旅游资源单体;统计分析了陆地边境旅游资源的类型与数量;总 结了陆地边境旅游资源的5大特征,分别为数量繁多、体量较大,类型丰富、组合度好,特色鲜明、垄断性高,神秘神圣、有庄严感,整体连续、线性明显;进行了 陆地边境旅游资源的质量等级评价,结果显示边境县域内共有61处五级旅游资源单体和237处四级旅游资源单体;最后提出了我国陆地边境旅游资源的总体开发 策略和不同质量等级开发策略。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Zhong <given-names>Linsheng, <name>Zhang <given-names>Shengrui, <name>Shi <given-names>Yuqing, <etal>et al.Evaluation and utilization strategies of land border tourism resources in China. Resources Science, <year>2014, <volume>36(3): <fpage>1117-<lpage>1124.] [19] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">时雨晴, <name lang="CN">钟林生, <name lang="CN">陈田. 中国陆地边境县域旅游竞争力评价. 资源科学, <year>2014, <volume>36(6): <fpage>1133-<lpage>1141.测度与分析我国陆地边境县域旅游竞争力水平，对各边境地区在激烈的旅游竞争中正确认识自身的优势与劣势具有重要意义。本研究从边境旅游竞争力的概念入手，分析边境旅游竞争力的影响因素，进而从边境旅游发展基础条件竞争力、边境旅游现状竞争力、边境旅游发展潜力竞争力三方面构建边境县域旅游竞争力的评价模型，并运用熵技术支持下的层次分析法对136个边境县域进行定量分析，结果表明：①我国边境县域旅游竞争力水平差异显著，云南、广西、辽宁边境县域旅游竞争力较强，西藏、甘肃、内蒙古边境县域旅游竞争力较弱；②从不同毗邻国边境段落来看，中朝、中老、中缅、中越边境县域旅游竞争力较强，中尼、中印、中不边境县域旅游竞争力较弱；③中朝、中老、中俄边境县域在旅游发展基础条件竞争力方面具有优势，中越、中朝、中缅边境县域在旅游发展现状竞争力方面具有优势，中亚、中阿、中巴边境县域在旅游发展潜力竞争力方面具有优势。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Shi <given-names>Yuqing, <name>Zhong <given-names>Linsheng, <name>Chen <given-names>Tian.Evaluation of border tourism competitiveness at the county level in China. Resources Science, <year>2014, <volume>36(6): <fpage>1133-<lpage>1141.] [20] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">邸明慧, <name lang="CN">郑凡, <name lang="CN">徐宁, <etal lang="CN">等. 河北省环京津贫困县旅游扶贫适宜模式选择. 地理与地理信息科学, <year>2015, <volume>31(3): <fpage>123-<lpage>126.旅游资源开发价值和旅游产业聚集程度是影响某一地区旅游发展的综 合要素,该文以这两个指标建立旅游扶贫适宜性分类模型,构建旅游资源开发价值评价指标体系,分别利用旅游资源综合价值指数评价法和区位熵指数法对河北省环 京津23个国家级贫困县的旅游资源开发价值和旅游产业聚集程度进行评价,利用四象限法对23县的评价结果进行分类,得出各县由旅游资源开发价值和旅游产业 聚集程度的高低组合决定的旅游扶贫适宜性类型,并依据各类型特征提出核心企业主导模式、政策性项目拉动模式、产业互动发展模式及大区带动发展模式4种旅游 扶贫模式,针对各县的具体发展优势进一步指出适宜模式下的旅游扶贫可行措施.
DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-0504.2015.03.024
<mixed-citation>[<name>Di <given-names>Minghui, <name>Zheng <given-names>Fan, <name>Xu <given-names>Ning, <etal>et al.Choice of pro-poor tourism suitability mode of national poverty counties in Hebei around Beijing and Tianjin. Geography and Geo-Information Science, <year>2015, <volume>31(3): <fpage>123-<lpage>126.] [21] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">李瑞, <name lang="CN">吴殿廷, <name lang="CN">鲍捷, <etal lang="CN">等. 基于地理学视角的民族县域旅游发展评价研究: 以黔东南州所辖民族县域为例. 干旱区资源与环境, <year>2014, <volume>28(1): <fpage>189-<lpage>198./s?wd=paperuri%3A%285b76e3ef8ae2a36e8d4cb5c44510791e%29&filter=sc_long_sign&sc_ks_para=q%3D%E5%9F%BA%E4%BA%8E%E5%9C%B0%E7%90%86%E5%AD%A6%E8%A7%86%E8%A7%92%E7%9A%84%E6%B0%91%E6%97%8F%E5%8E%BF%E5%9F%9F%E6%97%85%E6%B8%B8%E5%8F%91%E5%B1%95%E8%AF%84%E4%BB%B7%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6%E2%80%94%E2%80%94%E4%BB%A5%E9%BB%94%E4%B8%9C%E5%8D%97%E5%B7%9E%E6%89%80%E8%BE%96%E6%B0%91%E6%97%8F%E5%8E%BF%E5%9F%9F%E4%B8%BA%E4%BE%8B&sc_us=1664020901344330977&tn=SE_baiduxueshu_c1gjeupa&ie=utf-8 <mixed-citation>[<name>Li <given-names>Rui, <name>Wu <given-names>Dianting, <name>Bao <given-names>Jie, <etal>et al.Tourism development evaluation of ethnic county based on the geographic per-spective: A case of ethnic counties of Autonomous Prefecture of Southeast Guizhou. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, <year>2014, <volume>28(1): <fpage>189-<lpage>198.] [22] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">陈志钢, <name lang="CN">保继刚. 典型风景名胜城市土地利用动态变化及其影响机制研究: 以广西壮族自治区阳朔县为例. 地理科学, <year>2010, <volume>30(4): <fpage>544-<lpage>550./s?wd=paperuri%3A%283a467fb0c128b1ea82c09e0ef9b93be3%29&filter=sc_long_sign&sc_ks_para=q%3D%E5%85%B8%E5%9E%8B%E9%A3%8E%E6%99%AF%E5%90%8D%E8%83%9C%E5%9F%8E%E5%B8%82%E5%9C%9F%E5%9C%B0%E5%88%A9%E7%94%A8%E5%8A%A8%E6%80%81%E5%8F%98%E5%8C%96%E5%8F%8A%E5%85%B6%E5%BD%B1%E5%93%8D%E6%9C%BA%E5%88%B6%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6%E2%80%94%E2%80%94%E4%BB%A5%E5%B9%BF%E8%A5%BF%E5%A3%AE%E6%97%8F%E8%87%AA%E6%B2%BB%E5%8C%BA%E9%98%B3%E6%9C%94%E5%8E%BF%E4%B8%BA%E4%BE%8B&sc_us=2242788971487055152&tn=SE_baiduxueshu_c1gjeupa&ie=utf-8 <mixed-citation>[<name>Chen <given-names>Zhigang, <name>Bao <given-names>Jigang.Land use change dynamics and its determining mechanism in a typical tourist city: The case of Yangshuo county, Guangxi. Scientia Geographica Sinica, <year>2010, <volume>30(4): <fpage>544-<lpage>550.] [23] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">赵磊, <name lang="CN">夏鑫, <name lang="CN">全华. 基于旅游产业链延伸视角的县域旅游地演化研究. 经济地理, <year>2011, <volume>31(5): <fpage>874-<lpage>880.旅游产业链延伸主要通过对县域 旅游地旅游产业结构的优化配置以及县域旅游系统开发的整体协调两方面影响县域旅游地的演化发展。因此,在分析旅游产业链延伸形成机制的基础上分别从旅游产 业链延伸对县域旅游发展规划、县域旅游系统开发与县域旅游产业结构演变三个方面的影响作用来研究旅游产业链的延伸与县域旅游地演化二者之间相互耦合的内在 关系,以期为县域旅游地的演化研究提供参考。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Zhao <given-names>Lei, <name>Xia <given-names>Xin, <name>Quan <given-names>Hua.Study on the evaluation of country territory tourism destination based on tourism industrial chain extension. Economic Geography, <year>2011, <volume>31(5): <fpage>874-<lpage>880.] [24] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">姚治国, <name lang="CN">赵黎明. 区域旅游形象塑造中的人文要素分析: 以黟县为例. 地理科学, <year>2011, <volume>31(5): <fpage>634-<lpage>640.区域旅游形象是目的地核心吸引力,形象感知是影响旅游动机转化为旅游决策的关键因子。区域旅游形象构建过程中存在两个系统,一个是内生变量系统,一个是外生变量系统,目的地人文要素归属外生变量系统。目的地人文要素系统对旅游目的地认知形象、情感形象和最终形象均产生重要影响,影响机制为：①信息来源影响形象感应;②景区管理影响形象认知;③文化壁垒影响形象传播;④旅游服务影响形象记忆;⑤主客关系影响形象修正。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Yao <given-names>Zhiguo, <name>Zhao <given-names>Liming.Human factors' influence on the process of tourism destination image building: A case of Yi county. Scientia Geographica Sinica, <year>2011, <volume>31(5): <fpage>634-<lpage>640.] [25] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">陈建设, <name lang="CN">朱翔. 县域旅游空间布局模型构建研究. 经济地理, <year>2012, <volume>32(12): <fpage>163-<lpage>168.县域旅游空间布局对县域旅游的 发展起着十分重要的作用。县域旅游空间布局既要处理好县域内的旅游空间结构关系,也要处理好与县域所在区域的旅游空间结构关系。文章深入分析了县域旅游空 间布局的影响因素及决定机制、县域旅游空间布局的要素及模式;在此基础上,提出了县域旅游空间布局的SDEIF模型,对县域旅游开发具有一定的借鉴意义。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Chen <given-names>Jianshe, <name>Zhu <given-names>Xiang.Study on model construction of county tourism spatial layout. Economic Geography, <year>2012, <volume>32(12): <fpage>163-<lpage>168.] [26] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">李瑞, <name lang="CN">吴殿廷, <name lang="CN">郭谦, <etal lang="CN">等. 20世纪90年代中期以来中国县域旅游研究进展与展望. 地理与地理信息科学, <year>2012, <volume>28(1): <fpage>94-<lpage>99.采用Pearson Correlation分析法对1995-2010年我国县域旅游研究重要文献进行系统评述，初步构建了我国县域旅游理论体系；研究内容主要包括发展、规划、开发、资源、市场、形象、产品和方法研究8个领域21个视角，研究方法以现象描述和数理统计方法为主，但仍存在着理论研究视角、实证研究对象和研究方法选择较单一等问题；今后应分别从发展、规划、开发、要素和研究方法等方面的28个重要方向拓宽和延伸我国县域旅游的理论与实证研究。
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Space-Time Analysis of Regional Systems (STARS) is an open source package designed for dynamic exploratory analysis of data measured for areal units at multiple points in time. STARS consists of four core analytical modules: [1] ESDA: exploratory spatial data analysis; [2] Inequality measures; [3] Mobility metrics; [4] Spatial Markov. Developed using the Python object oriented scripting language, STARS lends itself to three main modes of use. Within the context of a command line interface (CLI), STARS can be treated as a package which can be called from within customized scripts for batch oriented analyses and simulation. Alternatively, a graphical user interface (GUI) integrates most of the analytical modules with a series of dynamic graphical views containing brushing and linking functionality to support interactive exploration of the spatial, temporal and distributional dimensions of socioeconomic and physical processes. Finally, the GUI and CLI modes can be combined for use from the Python shell to facilitate interactive programming and access to the many libraries contained within Python. This paper provides an overview of the design of STARS, its implementation, functionality and future plans. A selection of its analytical capabilities are also illustrated that highlight the power and flexibility of the package.
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-03647-7_6
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城市地价在空间、时间分布上具有较强的关联性和特殊性,随着城市建设的快速发展和土地市场的不断发育,城市地价的时空变化日趋复杂。本文以南京市主城区为例,基于城市地价动态监测数据,运用统计分析方法和克里金插值方法,研究城市住宅地价时空演变特征。研究表明:从宏观上讲,地价时间上演变受宏观经济影响较大,大的经济形势、房地产市场的变动,对地价变化影响显著。从中观上讲,地价空间上演变主要体现在城市内部的区位条件、交通条件、城市规划、公用设施状况和环境条件等的影响。上述两者共同作用于地价的变化,并且两者相互关联、密不可分。通过城市地价的时空演变研究,以期快速、直观、准确地反映城市地价变化,为城市地价的宏观调控、合理利用土地资源提供参考。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Cao <given-names>Tianbang, <name>Huang <given-names>Kelong, <name>Li <given-names>Jianbo, <etal>et al.The spatial-temporal evolution of the residential land price of downtown Nanjing. Geographical Research, <year>2012, <volume>31(6): <fpage>1029-<lpage>1038.] [33] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Rey S <given-names>J, Murray, <name>A <given-names>T, Anselin L. Visualizing regional income distribution dynamics. Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, <year>2011, <volume>4(1): <fpage>81-<lpage>90.This paper introduces a new approach to the analysis of regional income distribution dynamics. Drawing on recent advances in geovisualization, we suggest a spatially explicit view of income mobility. Based on the integration of a dynamic local indicator of spatial association (LISA) together with directional statistics, this framework provides new insights on the role of spatial dependence in regional income growth and change. These new approaches are illustrated in a case study of state level incomes in the U.S. over the 1969–2008 period.
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[34] <mixed-citation publication-type="book" publication-format="print"><name lang="CN">高铁梅. 计量经济分析方法与建模: Eviews应用及实例. 北京: 清华大学出版社, <year>2006. <mixed-citation>[<name>Gao <given-names>Tiemei.Econometric Analysis and Modeling: Application and Examples of EViews. Beijing: Tsinghua University Press, <year>2006.] [35] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">孙根年, <name lang="CN">张毓, <name lang="CN">薛佳. 资源—区位—贸易三大因素对日本游客入境旅游目的地选择的影响. 地理研究, <year>2011, <volume>30(6): <fpage>1032-<lpage>1043.外国游客入境旅游目的地的选择受多种因素的影响,具有较大的不确定性。本文从宏观视角出发,分别选取了旅游资源丰度、交通区位指数和贸易联系度三大因素,在广泛市场调查和总结已有成果的基础上,提出了入境游客目的地选择的三因素假设,即:旅游景点择高、空间距离择近和经济联系择富。并以日本游客入境中国旅游地域分布为例,系统收集整理了日本游客在中国31个省区的分布及各省区旅游资源丰度、交通区位指数和对日贸易联系度等数据,分析了游客到访率与上述3个因素的关系。结果显示:区位指数、贸易联系度对日本游客到访率有着更为直接的影响,三大因素的综合解释率高达97%以上,这在某种程度上揭示了入境游客地域分布和目的地选择的宏观规律。
DOI: 10.11821/yj2011060007
<mixed-citation>[<name>Sun <given-names>Gennian, <name>Zhang <given-names>Yu, <name>Xue <given-names>Jia.Scenery attraction, location accessibility and trade connection: Three factors and their influences on destination choice of Japanese tourists. Geographical Research, <year>2011, <volume>30(6): <fpage>1032-<lpage>1043.] [36] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Sun G <given-names>N, <name>Han Y <given-names>F.A study on relationship between foreign openness degree and inbound tourism development in China. International Journal of Business and Management, <volume>3(1), <fpage>62-<lpage>69. [37] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">唐承财, <name lang="CN">宋昌耀, <name lang="CN">厉新建. 河北省入境旅游规模差异及影响因素分析. 人文地理, <year>2014, <volume>29(5): <fpage>155-<lpage>160.以河北省2008—2013年 入境旅游数据为基础,运用标准差、变异系数、基尼系数和首位度等指标测度河北省入境旅游规模差异,运用位序—规模法则洛特卡一般模式分析河北省入境旅游位 序规模分布规律,运用相关系数法、多元线性回归法探索影响河北省入境旅游区域差异的因素。发现:1河北省入境旅游规模绝对差异先增大后减小,而相对差异在 波动中下降,规模差异呈缩小趋势。2基尼系数、首位度表明河北省入境旅游呈集中分布,位序—规模分析表明河北省入境旅游规模呈首位型分布,但洛特卡模式集 中指数q从2008年1.73到2013年1.53,表明入境旅游差距在逐渐缩小。3以入境旅游规模和地域邻近特征为基础可以将河北省入境旅游划分为冀东 北、冀西北和冀东南三大旅游区。4影响河北省入境旅游区域差异的主要因素是旅游资源丰度和区位条件。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Tang <given-names>Chengcai, <name>Song <given-names>Changyao, Lixinjian. Analysis of disparity of inbound tourism rank and scale and its influencing factors for cities in Hebei province. Human Geography, <year>2014, <volume>29(5): <fpage>155-<lpage>160.] [38] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">李旭, <name lang="CN">秦耀辰, <name lang="CN">宁晓菊, <etal lang="CN">等. 中国入境游客旅游目的地选择变化及影响因素. 经济地理, <year>2014, <volume>34(6): <fpage>169-<lpage>175.以我国主要旅游城市为研究对 象,利用亲景度理论分析各客源市场游客对我国各城市类型和区域的旅游目的地选择偏好差异及变化,利用回归分析探寻影响入境游客旅游目的地选择偏好的主要影 响因素。结果发现:入境游客旅游目的地选择偏好呈现一定的规律性,主要入境客源市场游客对各城市类型和区域的选择性及变化差异较大,入境游客目的地选择偏 好呈现距离衰减规律;入境游客目的地选择的影响因素主要有旅游距离、经济联系、目的地经济发展水平和资源禀赋等,各影响因素对各客源市场游客目的地选择的 影响作用差异较大,在区分这些差异的基础上提出相关的入境旅游市场开拓建议。
<mixed-citation>[<name>Li <given-names>Xu, <name>Qin <given-names>Yaochen, <name>Ning <given-names>Xiaoju, <etal>et al.Destination choice change and its influencing factors of inbound tourists in China. Economic Geography, <year>2014, <volume>34(6): <fpage>169-<lpage>175.] [39] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">张宏梅, <name lang="CN">陆林. 入境旅游者旅游动机及其跨文化比较: 以桂林阳朔入境旅游者为例. 地理学报, <year>2009, <volume>64(8): <fpage>989-<lpage>998.Zhang <given-names>Hongmei, <name>Lu <given-names>Lin.Cross-cultural research on inbound tourists' motivation: A case study of inbound tourists in Guilin and Yangshuo. Acta Geographica Sinica, <year>2009, <volume>64(8): <fpage>989-<lpage>998.] [40] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">张朝枝, <name lang="CN">孙晓静, <name lang="CN">卢玉平. “文化是旅游的灵魂”误解与反思: 武夷山案例研究. 旅游科学, <year>2010, <volume>21(1): <fpage>61-<lpage>68./s?wd=paperuri%3A%2827626d9c10bd9f24633fdd484b2fd724%29&filter=sc_long_sign&sc_ks_para=q%3D%E2%80%9C%E6%96%87%E5%8C%96%E6%98%AF%E6%97%85%E6%B8%B8%E7%9A%84%E7%81%B5%E9%AD%82%E2%80%9D%3A%E8%AF%AF%E8%A7%A3%E4%B8%8E%E5%8F%8D%E6%80%9D%E2%80%94%E2%80%94%E6%AD%A6%E5%A4%B7%E5%B1%B1%E6%A1%88%E4%BE%8B%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6&sc_us=14195000421676749583&tn=SE_baiduxueshu_c1gjeupa&ie=utf-8 <mixed-citation>[<name>Zhang <given-names>Chaozhi, <name>Sun <given-names>Xiaojing, <name>Lu <given-names>Yuping.Culture is the soul of tourism: Misunderstanding and reflection: A case study of Mount Wuyi. Tourism Science, <year>2010, <volume>24(1): <fpage>61-<lpage>68.]
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本文关键词：基于旅游产业链延伸视角的县域旅游地演化研究，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。
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