基于Maxmin公平的风险控制资源比例分摊方法

发布时间：2018-05-08 08:03

本文选题：项目风险控制 + 资源分摊　；参考：《系统工程理论与实践》2017年06期

【摘要】：在项目风险管理实践中,如何将风险控制资源适当地分摊给各风险因素是一个重要议题.在风险控制资源总量有限的情况下,合理地分配风险控制资源将有助于提高风险控制效果,提高资源利用效率.考虑到比例分摊是一种在实践中被广泛采用的分摊方法,其直观的分摊原理更容易被决策者所理解和接受,因此引入比例分摊思想研究该问题.首先推导出项目风险控制资源分摊集的数学表达式,进而定义各定义风险因素的分摊效用函数,在此基础上以分摊效用值满足Maxmin公平为目标,构建风险控制资源分摊模型并给出相应的分摊算法.该模型被应用到软件项目开发实例中,结果表明该方法能够实现对风险控制资源的合理分摊,可以为项目经理提供有效的决策支持.
[Abstract]:In the practice of project risk management, how to apportion risk control resources to various risk factors is an important issue. When the total amount of risk control resources is limited, the rational allocation of risk control resources will help to improve the effect of risk control and improve the efficiency of resource utilization. Considering that proportional allocation is a widely used method in practice, its intuitive allocation principle is more easily understood and accepted by decision makers, so the idea of proportional allocation is introduced to study this problem. First, the mathematical expression of the allocation set of project risk control resources is derived, and then the allocation utility function of each risk factor is defined. On this basis, the objective is to satisfy the equity of Maxmin with the value of shared utility. The risk control resource allocation model is constructed and the corresponding allocation algorithm is given. The model is applied to a software project development example. The results show that the method can realize the reasonable allocation of risk control resources and provide effective decision support for the project manager.
【作者单位】：合肥工业大学经济学院;中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金(71571179,71425002) 中国科学院青年创新促进会项目(2013112) 合肥工业大学校博士专项科研资助基金(JZ2016HGBZ0996)~~
【分类号】：F272.3;F49

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