基于拉氏方法的道路货物运输价格指数编制模型与应用

发布时间：2018-02-12 07:39

本文关键词： 道路货物运输价格指数拉氏方法　出处：《北京交通大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着我国国民经济的快速发展以及道路基础设施的不断完善,我国道路货运市场规模日益壮大,取得了显著的发展。然而,货运市场也存在供需关系失衡,运输价格高低不一,低价恶性竞争普遍等现象。运输价格指数能够客观及时地反映货运市场的价格波动趋势,为政府、企业制定决策提供科学依据。因此,研究编制我国道路货物运输价格指数具有重要的理论和现实意义,具体工作如下:(1)道路货物运输价格指数编制模型研究。在综合分析国内外典型运输价格指数及编制方法的基础上,针对我国现阶段道路货运市场的发展特点,分析了道路货物运输价格指数的需求,设计了一个由区域、里程、运输组织方式、货物重量类型、运输速度等一系列因素组成的道路货物运输价格指数体系。在此基础上,基于拉氏指数编制方法,针对道路货物运输价格指数的各个要素进行了设计,包括编制方法、样本线路、基期以及权数的选择等,建立了道路货物运输价格指数编模型。(2)道路货物运输价格指数编制实证应用及分析。采集阿里巴巴物流服务平台上的物流资源交易数据,应用道路货物运输价格指数编制模型,编制了浙江省道路货物运输价格指数体系,并将其与PMI指数、中国出口集装箱运输价格指数以及中国公路物流运输价格指数进行了相关性分析。结果显示,本文编制的基于拉氏方法的道路货运价格指数是科学合理的。(3)道路货物运输价格指数编制系统的设计与实现。基于软件工程方法设计了道路货物运输价格指数编制系统。并以Microsoft visual studio 2010作为集成开发环境,采用C#语言予以编程实现,从而为道路货物运输价格指数编制和管理提供自动化工具。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of China's national economy and the continuous improvement of road infrastructure, the scale of the road freight market in China is growing day by day and has made remarkable development. However, there is also imbalance between supply and demand in the freight transport market, and the transport prices vary. The transport price index can objectively and timely reflect the trend of price fluctuation in the freight market and provide scientific basis for the government and enterprises to make decisions. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to study and compile the road freight transport price index in China. The specific work is as follows: 1) study on the model of the road freight transport price index. Based on the comprehensive analysis of the typical transport price index and its compilation methods at home and abroad, aiming at the characteristics of the development of our country's road freight market at present, This paper analyzes the demand of road freight transport price index, designs a road freight transport price index system which consists of a series of factors, such as region, mileage, transportation organization mode, cargo weight type, transportation speed and so on. Based on the Lagrangian index compilation method, this paper designs the various elements of the road freight transport price index, including the compilation method, sample line, base period and weight selection, etc. The empirical application and analysis of the compilation of road freight transport price index are established. The transaction data of logistics resources on Alibaba logistics service platform are collected, and the model of road freight transport price index is established. The price index system of road freight transportation in Zhejiang province is compiled, and the correlation analysis is carried out with PMI index, China export container transport price index and China road logistics transport price index. In this paper, the design and implementation of the road freight transport price index compiling system based on the Laplace method is scientific and reasonable. Based on the software engineering method, the road freight transport price index compilation is designed. And take Microsoft visual studio 2010 as the integrated development environment, C # language is used to realize this program, which provides an automatic tool for the compilation and management of road freight transport price index.
【学位授予单位】：北京交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F542.5

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