宁煤集团煤制油项目建设风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-01-20 15:21

本文关键词： 煤制油项目风险管理　出处：《宁夏大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着经济的高速增长,我国对油品的需求量也迅猛递增,导致了对进口石油的依赖程度日益加深,截止2013年底,石油对外依存度达58.1%,天然气对外依存度达31.6%,严重影响了我国的石油安全。我国基本能源结构的特征为富煤、缺油、少气,因此,通过发展煤变油等煤基替代液体燃料技术,提高煤炭的使用效益,对我国的石油供需起到了一定的缓解作用,使能源转型逐步升级,是建立保障国家能源尤其是石油安全体系的重要手段。煤制油是一个投资成本大、建设时间长,风险因素多,风险失误损失十分严重的项目。为避免风险、防范严重的损失后果,如何保证项目风险处于受控状态,有效规避、转移风险,并且合理分担、降低风险损失已经成为项目管理的重要内容之一。本文从风险及风险管理的概念入手,对煤制油项目特别是宁煤集团煤制油项目进行风险研究,希望对项目本身及类似项目给予借鉴。
[Abstract]:With the rapid economic growth, the demand for oil products in China is also increasing rapidly, which leads to the increasing dependence on imported oil. As of end of 2013, the degree of dependence on foreign oil reached 58.1%. The external dependence of natural gas is 31.6b, which has seriously affected the oil security of our country. The basic energy structure of our country is characterized by rich coal, lack of oil and less gas. Through the development of coal-based alternative liquid fuel technology, such as coal to oil, to improve the efficiency of coal use, China's oil supply and demand has played a certain role in alleviating the energy transformation and upgrading. Coal oil production is a project with large investment cost, long construction time, many risk factors and very serious risk error loss, in order to avoid the risk. How to prevent the consequences of serious losses, how to ensure that the project risk is in a controlled state, effectively circumvent, transfer the risk, and reasonably share the risk. Reducing risk loss has become one of the important contents of project management. This paper starts with the concept of risk and risk management, carries on the risk research to the coal oil production project, especially to the Ningmei coal oil production project. Hope to use for reference to the project itself and similar projects.
【学位授予单位】：宁夏大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F426.22;F272.3

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