配网用户用电特性市场分析预测应用系统方案设计

发布时间：2018-04-25 17:40

本文选题：用电特性 + 市场分析预测　；参考：《电力系统保护与控制》2017年12期

【摘要】：基于大数据平台模式下建立科学合理的电量分析预测管理办法及分析预测模型具有重要意义。基于此,设计一种基于用电分析的配网用户用电特性市场分析预测应用系统方案。给出了系统总体方案设计,包括系统总体架构、技术平台架构和大数据分析方法。其次,重点对系统功能架构、源数据平台层、大数据计算平台、系统接口和安全管理进行了方案设计,给出了设计应遵循的原则和技术实现方式。最后,应用系统设计方案中的电力相似月法模型,以广东某市2000~2008年历史用电量数据为基础,进行了实例分析。所设计的应用系统方案,具备对用电市场数据进行深入分析、挖掘的能力,科学预测的能力及提高全局用电市场分析的管理能力,为用电市场的营销服务策略制定提供支撑与保证。
[Abstract]:It is of great significance to establish scientific and reasonable management method and model of electricity quantity analysis and prediction based on big data platform. Based on this, an application system for market analysis and prediction of power consumption characteristics of distribution network users is designed. The overall scheme design of the system is given, including the system architecture, technical platform architecture and big data analysis method. Secondly, the system function structure, source data platform layer, big data computing platform, system interface and security management are designed. Finally, based on the historical data of electricity consumption from 2000 to 2008 in a certain city in Guangdong province, an example is analyzed by using the similar monthly model of electric power in the design scheme of the system. The designed application system has the ability to analyze and excavate the power market data, to predict scientifically and to improve the management ability of the overall power market analysis. Provide support and guarantee for the marketing service strategy of electricity market.
【作者单位】：广东电网有限责任公司东莞供电局;
【基金】：中国南方电网科技项目资助(GDKJ00000052)~~
【分类号】：TM73;TP311.52

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