1994年人民币汇率制度改革研究

发布时间：2018-01-02 21:43

本文关键词：1994年人民币汇率制度改革研究　出处：《云南财经大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

更多相关文章： 1994年 人民币汇率 改革意义

【摘要】：汇率制度的选择对一个国家来说是一个重大的课题，我国自从改革开放以来，汇率制度对经济发展的重要性日益凸显，人民币汇率制度也经历了几次大的变迁，这其中1994年汇率制度改革的意义尤为突出，它结束了我国之前长达十几年的汇率双轨制，为人民币汇率制度的选择揭开了新的篇章；同时随着经济的发展和内外部环境的变化，名义上的有管理浮动、实质上的盯住美元制也带来了一些问题。对这次汇改的评价学术界也是褒贬不一，本文试图通过对1994年人民币汇率制度改革的全面分析来正确看待这次汇改。本文首先对1994年汇改之前人民币汇率制度的变迁史进行详细的阐述，分析这一阶段人民币汇率制度的变化特点和1994年汇改的历史原因，进而引出1994年汇改的相关内容；紧接着详细阐述1994年汇改的具体内容和本次汇改对经济发展的影响，这里主要是分三个部分来阐述的：第一个部分是1997年亚洲金融危机之前；第二个部分是亚洲金融危机的爆发；第三个部分是亚洲金融危机之后至2004年。随后对94汇改做出一个相对客观的评价即94汇改是符合我国当时的国情以及经济发展的需要的。接下来以相对购买力平价为理论基础对1985年~2004年人民币汇率进行实证分析，，得出的结论和前文理论分析基本吻合，即1994年汇改从购买力平价角度即汇率形成的市场化角度来说是一次较为成功的改革，但是随着国内外环境的变化，人民币汇率形成机制逐渐暴露出一些新问题，人民币存在持续的升值压力。全文的最后对前文内容作了总结以及根据相对购买力平价所得出的政策含义做了简要说明。
[Abstract]:The choice of exchange rate regime is a major issue for a country, our country since the reform and opening up, the importance of exchange rate system on economic development has become increasingly prominent, the RMB exchange rate system has undergone several major changes, the reform of exchange rate system in 1994 outstanding meaning, it ended in China before a dozen the exchange rate system, opened a new chapter for the choice of RMB exchange rate system; at the same time, with the development of economy and the change of the external environment, nominal managed floating, the essence of the dollar peg system also brings some problems. The reform of the academic evaluation is mixed, this paper tries to comprehensively analysis of the 1994 reform of the RMB exchange rate system to the correct view of the exchange rate reform.
Firstly, history prior to the 1994 reform of the RMB exchange rate system in detail, analysis of the RMB exchange rate system this phase changes and the exchange rate reform in 1994 for historical reasons, which leads to relevant content of the exchange rate reform in 1994; followed by the specific content describes the exchange rate reform in 1994 and this exchange rate reform impact on economic development and here is mainly divided into three parts to elaborate: the first part is before the Asian financial crisis in 1997; the second part is the outbreak of the Asian financial crisis; the third part is after the Asian financial crisis of 94 to 2004. Then the exchange rate reform to make a relatively objective evaluation is the 94 reform of the exchange rate is in line with our at the time of the situation and the needs of economic development. Then, the relative purchasing power parity as the theoretical basis for the 1985 ~2004 RMB exchange rate by empirical analysis, the conclusion and the former The theoretical analysis is consistent, namely the exchange rate reform in 1994 the market from the perspective of PPP perspective that the RMB exchange rate formation is one of the most successful reform, but with the change of domestic and international environment, the RMB exchange rate formation mechanism gradually exposed some new problems in the continued appreciation of the RMB deposit pressure. Finally summarized the aforementioned contents, according to the policy implications of the relative purchasing power parity are briefly described.

【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832.52

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