中国金融发展对贸易开放的动态影响研究

发布时间：2018-05-16 01:13

本文选题：金融发展 + 贸易开放　；参考：《复旦大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：20世纪后期,世界经济的发展呈现出全球化、一体化的趋势,一国经济的发展越来越受到全球经济环境的影响,而国际贸易成为其中重要的一环。国际贸易对中国的经济发展尤为重要,改革开放后我国经济发展中贸易出口的贡献度直较高,是三驾马车中的重要组成,国际贸易的重要性可见一斑。与此同时,我国的金融业也呈现出迅猛发展的态势,主要体现在金融规模的不断增长,金融结构的不断调整以及金融效率的持续上升,各地开始重视金融产业的发展。在此背景下,理清我国及各地区金融发展对贸易开放的影响具有现实意义,不仅能够为我国以及各地区的金融发展、金融改革的提供借鉴,也为我国各地区协调金融发展与贸易开放的关系,提供了有效的政策建议。本文作为经济发展理论的分支,首先系统的回顾了金融发展和贸易开放与经济增长之间的关系,明确两者在经济增长中所起的作用,并且梳理了金融发展对贸易开放影响的重要文献。随后,本文从宏观、微观和政策三个层面详细剖析了金融发展对贸易开放的作用机理。结合前人文献的研究以及作用机理的分析,本文选择金融规模、金融结构和金融效率作为度量我国金融发展的指标,利用向量误差修正模型,分别从全国视角和区域视角衡量我国和各地区金融发展对贸易开放的动态影响,进行了详细的实证分析。通过对比我国整体和各地区的实证结果,本文得出以下结论：(1)从全国和区域来看,金融规模都对贸易开放水平产生正向影响；(2)金融结构对贸易开放也存在着显著的影响,全国和东部地区影响为负向影响,东北、中西部地区为正向影响,体现部分区域的金融市场融资并未对贸易开放产生促进作用：(3)全国范围看,金融效率影响为正向,经济越不发达地区正向影响越大；(4)总体看来,我国贸易开放水平受到了金融发展的显著影响,其中,金融规模和金融结构对贸易开放的作用较为明显。最后,结合本文的结论,给出了适合我国各地区发展特点的政策建议。
[Abstract]:In the late 20th century, the development of the world economy showed the trend of globalization and integration. The economic development of a country was more and more affected by the global economic environment, and international trade became an important part of it. International trade is particularly important to China's economic development. After the reform and opening up, the contribution of trade exports in China's economic development is very high, which is an important component of the troika, and the importance of international trade can be seen. At the same time, the financial industry of our country also presents the swift and violent development situation, mainly manifests in the financial scale unceasing growth, the financial structure unceasing adjustment and the financial efficiency continues to rise, each place begins to attach importance to the development of the financial industry. In this context, it is of practical significance to clarify the impact of financial development in China and other regions on the opening up of trade, not only for the financial development of China and other regions, but also for the reference of financial reform. It also provides effective policy advice for China to coordinate the relationship between financial development and trade opening. As a branch of the theory of economic development, this paper first systematically reviews the relationship between financial development and trade opening and economic growth, and clarifies their roles in economic growth. And has combed the financial development to the trade opening influence important literature. Then, this paper analyzes the mechanism of financial development on trade opening from macro, micro and policy levels. Based on the research of previous literatures and the analysis of the mechanism, this paper chooses financial scale, financial structure and financial efficiency as indicators to measure the development of Chinese finance, and modifies the model by vector error. The dynamic impact of financial development on trade openness in China and other regions is measured from the national and regional perspectives, and a detailed empirical analysis is carried out. By comparing the empirical results of China as a whole and regions, this paper draws the following conclusions: from the national and regional point of view, the scale of finance has a positive impact on the level of trade opening. (2) the financial structure also has a significant impact on the opening up of trade. The national and eastern regions have a negative impact, while the northeast and central and western regions have a positive impact, reflecting that the financial market financing in some regions has not contributed to the opening up of trade.) across the country, the impact of financial efficiency is positive. Overall, the level of China's trade opening is significantly affected by the financial development, among which the financial scale and financial structure play a more important role in the trade opening. Finally, combined with the conclusion of this paper, some policy suggestions suitable for the development characteristics of various regions in China are given.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832.5;F752;F224

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