我国农业上市公司成长性影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-11-23 10:16

【摘要】：农业作为中国的第一产业,其发展关系着国民经济发展的命脉。党中央在2003年正式提出“三农”问题,并将其置于我国经济发展的“重中之重”。提高农业产业化经营,推动家庭经营向采用先进科技和生产手段的方向发展,建立农业产业化生产基地是农业的发展方向。农业上市公司是农业企业的模范先锋,其成长能力直接关系着农业未来发展的方向。从1993年第一家农业上市公司至今,20年的成长历程,证明了我国农业上市公司在农业产业化经营进程中发挥着非常重要的作用,在推进农业的市场化、产业化、标准化生产中起着引导作用,代表着农业发展的先进生产力。但是农业上市公司在成长中存在着许多问题,如农业的“背农”经营、转型投资、违法违规。本文通过公司盈利能力、企业规模、偿债能力、资产营运能力等方面的多项财务指标,运用主成分分析方法和多元回归方法探析影响农业上市公司成长性的主要因素。研究发现在我国农业上市公司成长性的影响因素中,企业规模和创新能力是最为重要的影响因素。本文的创新点在于将主成分分析法和多元回归分析方法结合,首先通过主成分分析法分别对代表我国农业上市公司的成长性和相关影响因素的财务指标进行分析,其次对公司的成长性和相关主成分进行多元回归,最后通过多元回归函数和主成分函数将系数还原到每一个影响因素指标,最终确定各个因素对我国农业上市公司成长性的影响程度。
[Abstract]:Agriculture as the primary industry of China, its development is related to the lifeblood of national economic development. In 2003, the CPC Central Committee formally raised the issue of agriculture, rural areas and farmers, and placed it as the top priority of China's economic development. To improve the management of agricultural industrialization and promote the development of family management towards the direction of adopting advanced technology and production means, the establishment of agricultural industrialization production base is the development direction of agriculture. Agricultural listed companies are the model vanguard of agricultural enterprises, and their growth ability is directly related to the future development direction of agriculture. From the first agricultural listed company in 1993 to now, the growth course of 20 years has proved that the agricultural listed company in our country plays a very important role in the course of agricultural industrialization management, and it is promoting the marketization and industrialization of agriculture. Standardized production plays a leading role, representing the advanced productive forces of agricultural development. However, there are many problems in the growth of agricultural listed companies, such as agricultural "back farming" management, investment transformation, illegal and illegal. This paper analyzes the main factors influencing the growth of agricultural listed companies by means of principal component analysis (PCA) and multivariate regression method. It is found that the scale of enterprises and the ability of innovation are the most important factors affecting the growth of agricultural listed companies in China. The innovation of this paper lies in the combination of principal component analysis and multivariate regression analysis. Firstly, the paper analyzes the financial indicators representing the growth and related factors of agricultural listed companies through principal component analysis. Secondly, the growth of the company and related principal components of the multivariate regression, and finally through the multivariate regression function and principal component function to restore the coefficient to each of the influencing factors indicators, Finally determine the impact of each factor on the growth of agricultural listed companies in China.
【学位授予单位】：内蒙古农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F324;F832.51

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