中超联赛球队跑动表现对比赛胜负的影响

发布时间：2018-03-10 04:14

本文选题：职业足球联赛　切入点：跑动表现　出处：《中国体育科技》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：以2015赛季中超比赛为研究对象,通过方差分析和建立多元线性判别模型的方法对主场和客场时影响比赛结果(胜、平、负)的运动员跑动表现指标进行分析,并进一步筛选出判别比赛结果的关键性跑动表现指标。研究结果显示:1)球队主场作战时:冲刺跑距离和次数,高强度跑距离和次数,本方控球时的冲刺跑距离、高速跑距离、高强度跑距离,对方控球时的冲刺跑、高强度跑距离是影响比赛结果的主要跑动表现指标。球队客场作战时:高强度跑距离、次数和间歇时间,本方控球时的冲刺跑距离、高速跑距离、高强度跑距离,对方控球时的冲刺跑、高强度跑距离是影响比赛结果的主要跑动表现指标。2)无论球队是主场还是客场作战,本方控球时和对方控球时的冲刺跑距离均是判别比赛胜负的关键指标。3)本方控球时的冲刺跑距离可以较好地反映球队的进攻表现,而对方控球时的冲刺距离不能反映球队的防守表现。结论:球队比赛跑动表现可以在一定程度上影响比赛的结果,其中,本方和对方控球时的冲刺距离为影响比赛结果的关键性指标。
[Abstract]:Based on the analysis of variance and multivariate linear discriminant model, this paper analyzes the running performance index of the athletes who influence the result of the competition (win, level and negative) at home and away by means of variance analysis and multivariate linear discriminant model. Furthermore, the key running performance index to judge the result of the match is selected. The results show that when the team is playing at home: the distance and times of sprint, the distance and times of high intensity running, the distance of sprint, the distance of high speed, the distance of sprint, the distance of running at high speed when the team is in control of the ball, The high intensity distance is the main performance index that affects the result of the match. In the away game, the high intensity running distance, the number of times and the interval time, the sprint distance when the ball is in control, High speed running distance, high intensity running distance, the sprint run when the opponent is in possession of the ball, high intensity running distance is the main running performance index that affects the result of the match.) whether the team is playing at home or away, The distance between the sprint and the opponent is the key index to judge the result of the match. 3) the distance between the sprint and the ball can reflect the attacking performance of the team. However, the sprint distance when the opponent has the ball does not reflect the defensive performance of the team. Conclusion: the running performance of the team can influence the result of the match to a certain extent, among which, The sprint distance between our side and the opponent is the key index to affect the result of the game.
【作者单位】：北京体育大学研究生院;
【分类号】：G843

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