美国职业棒球联赛盗垒技术应用特点及影响因素的研究

发布时间：2018-05-25 14:25

本文选题：美国职业棒球联赛 + 盗垒　；参考：《北京体育大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：盗垒技术是棒球运动中重要的进攻手段之一并越来越受到教练员及运动员的重视。如何合理运用盗垒技术并通过提高盗垒成功率来最大化盗垒给予球队进攻所带来的贡献是盗垒技术运用过程中的关键所在。棒球运动员发动盗垒技术后的结果是成功或失败受到投手、捕手及跑垒员起跑时机等诸多相关因素的影响。本文主要通过录像观察法及数理统计法对盗垒技术在美国职业棒球联赛中的应用特点及盗垒技术的相关影响因素进行分析与研究。通过研究得出以下结果：1.自1990赛季至2014赛季美国职业棒球联赛中的盗垒技术使用频率呈逐渐下降的趋势,其中最低达到每场比赛仅0.761次盗垒；跑垒员盗垒的成功率则呈逐渐上升趋势,在2012赛季达到最高的0.740。2.盗2垒是美国职业棒球比赛中最常使用的盗垒类别;国家联盟球队盗垒的使用频率低于美国联盟的球队；随着棒球比赛的进行跑垒员在单场比赛中盗垒的可能性逐渐下降。3.投手在跑垒员进行盗垒时投球的球种与跑垒员盗2垒成功率显著相关,当投手所投球的球种为变化球时跑垒员盗垒的成功率为投直球时的3.577倍。4.捕手接球位置与进攻方跑垒员盗2垒的成功率显著相关,当捕手接球位置为区域2、3、4与区域1相比跑垒员更容易盗垒成功。5.当进攻局面为1垒、3垒同时存在跑垒员时,跑垒员盗2垒更容易成功,其成功率为仅跑垒员本身在1垒时的6.441倍。6.棒球比赛中防守方的投手为左投手或右投手并不会影响到跑垒员盗2垒结果,然而左投手相比右投手更容易把1垒上的跑垒员牵制出局,左投手通过牵制可有效限制跑垒员尝试盗垒。
[Abstract]:Base-stealing technology is one of the most important offensive methods in baseball, which is paid more and more attention by coaches and athletes. How to make rational use of base stealing technology and maximize the contribution of base theft to team attack by improving the success rate of base theft is the key to the application of base theft technology. The result of baseball players' pilfering technique is that the success or failure is influenced by many related factors, such as the pitcher, catcher and runner, etc. This paper analyzes and studies the characteristics of the application of base theft technology in American professional baseball league and the influence factors of base theft technology through video observation and mathematical statistics. The following results are obtained from the study: 1: 1. From 1990 season to 2014 season, the frequency of base-stealing technique in the American Professional Baseball League decreased gradually, among which the lowest was 0.761 times in each game, while the success rate of baseman stealing base showed an increasing trend. Reached a high of 0.740.2 in 2012. Stealing 2 base is the most commonly used type of base theft in American professional baseball; national league teams steal base less frequently than American league teams; the possibility of base theft by runners in a single game decreases gradually as baseball games go on. There is a significant correlation between the type of ball pitched by the runner and the success rate of the runner stealing the second base. When the pitcher pitches the ball to change the ball, the baseman's success rate is 3.577 times as high as that of the straight ball. The catcher's catch position was significantly related to the success rate of attacking runner stealing second base, when the catcher's position was area 2 / 3 / 4, the runner was more likely to steal base than area 1. 5. When the attacking situation is 1 base and 3 base and there are runners, it is easier for the runner to steal the second base, and the success rate is 6.441 times that of the runner himself at the first base. In baseball, the defensive pitcher who pitches left or right doesn't affect the runner's second base, but the left-hander is more likely than the right-hander to pull the runner out of first base. A left pitcher can effectively restrict runners from trying to steal base by holding it down.
【学位授予单位】：北京体育大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：G848.1

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