第27～31届奥运会游泳奖牌归属的动态演变分析

发布时间：2018-05-28 05:13

本文选题：奥运会 + 游泳　；参考：《中国矿业大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：主要采用文献资料法、数理统计法、聚类分析法、对比分析法、逻辑分析法等研究方法分别从奖牌设置情况、奖牌总体归属情况、各项群亚类奖牌归属情况、各项群亚类奖牌归属的聚类情况、各项群亚类奖牌归属的动态演变等方面,对第27~31届奥运会游泳奖牌归属的动态演变情况进行全面细致的研究,研究得出以下结论:1、奥运会游泳项目,美国表现出来绝对的霸主实力,在总的奖牌数和金牌总数上遥遥领先其他各国,独自成为第一梯队,中国、澳大利亚、荷兰、日本形成第二梯队紧随美国,虽然中国以金牌数的优势排在第二梯队,但相对第二梯队的其他国家奖牌的总数较少。2、各项群亚类奖牌的强势区中都有美国的身影,说明游泳项目上美国不仅在整体上强而且在各分项和男、女项目上发展的都很均衡。作为第二梯队的澳大利亚基本上处在奖牌的优势区中,荷兰、日本仅在个别项目中处在奖牌的优势区中,而中国基本上处在奖牌的弱势区域中,呈现“阴盛阳衰”发展不均衡的现状。3、男子短距离游泳方面,作为强势区和优势区的国家,只有美国保持上升的态势,澳大利亚呈下滑趋势逐渐推出竞争,荷兰和南非的不稳定状态,中国在此类项目还没有奖牌收获,与其他国家的竞技水平相差很大。女子短距离游泳方面,美国还是以绝对的优势保持领跑,而澳大利亚已经退出了该类项目奖牌的争夺,中国在此类项目上处在奖牌的弱势区有很大机会去冲击奖牌的争夺。4、男子短距离游泳接力方面,除了美国以绝对的优势保持平稳的状态以外,澳大利亚虽然起伏较大,但也是主要竞争国家之一,处在奖牌弱势区的日本在4×100米混合泳上也表现不错的成绩,中国在此类项目上与其他国家实力相差较大。女子短距离游泳接力方面,美国和澳大利亚以绝对的实力占据着前两名,中国在此类项目上仅有一枚奖牌收获,相对男子情况要好很多,与接力强国实力相差不是很远。5、男子中距离游泳方面,美国以绝对的优势领先其他各国,日本的上升趋势与澳大利亚的下降趋势,与短距离游泳相比,中国在此类项目上存在着和其他强国的抗衡的实力。女子中距离游泳方面,美国和澳大利亚的波动很大,此类向项目的竞争格局也要相对动荡,中国在这些项目上并表现出了不俗的成绩,在奖牌的争夺上也能分一杯羹。
[Abstract]:The main research methods are literature, mathematical statistics, cluster analysis, comparative analysis, logic analysis and so on. This paper makes a comprehensive and detailed study on the dynamic evolution of swimming medal attribution in the 2731st Olympic Games from the aspects of the cluster situation of medal attribution in each cluster subcategory, the dynamic evolution of medal attribution in each cluster subcategory, and the dynamic evolution of medal attribution in each cluster subcategory. The study draws the following conclusion: 1. Swimming in the Olympic Games, the United States shows absolute dominance. It is far ahead of other countries in the total number of medals and the total number of gold medals, becoming the first echelon alone, China, Australia, the Netherlands, Japan formed the second echelon, followed by the United States. Although China ranked second in gold medals, the total number of medals in other countries in the second echelon was smaller than that in the second echelon. The United States was present in the strong areas of each sub-category of medals. It shows that swimming events in the United States not only in the overall strong and in all sub-items and women and men's events are very balanced development. Australia, as the second echelon, is basically in the dominant zone of the medal, the Netherlands and Japan are in the dominant zone of the medal only in individual events, while China is basically in the weak zone of the medal. In short distance swimming for men, as a strong and dominant region, only the United States has maintained an upward trend, while Australia has a downward trend to gradually introduce competition. The Netherlands and South Africa are unstable, and China has yet to win medals in such events, which is far from the level of competition elsewhere. In women's short distance swimming, the United States still leads the race by an absolute margin, while Australia has withdrawn from the competition for medals in this category of events. China has a great chance of competing for medals in the weaker areas of medals in such events. In the men's short distance swimming relay, in addition to the United States, which maintains a stable state by absolute superiority, Australia has a big ups and downs. But one of the main contenders, Japan, which is in a weak medal zone, has also done well in the 4 脳 100 meter medley, with China lagging far behind other countries in such events. In the women's short distance swimming relay, the United States and Australia occupy the top two in absolute strength. China has only one medal in this category, much better than the men. The strength of the relay power is not far from that of the relay power. 5. In terms of men's middle distance swimming, the United States leads other countries by absolute superiority. Japan's upward trend is similar to that of Australia's downward trend, and compared with short distance swimming. China has the power to compete with other powers in such projects. In women's mid-range swimming, the United States and Australia have fluctuated, and the competitive landscape for these events has been relatively volatile. China has performed well in these events and won a share of the medal race.
【学位授予单位】：中国矿业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：G861.1

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