长江三角洲地区农村居民体育消费结构ELES模型分析

发布时间：2018-12-14 05:58

【摘要】：运用文献资料、问卷调查、数理统计等方法,以扩展线性支出系统模型(ELES模型)为分析工具,对长江三角洲地区农村居民体育消费结构特征与发展趋势进行分析。研究显示,长江三角洲地区农村居民体育消费结构构成比存在非常显著性差异,具有明显的年龄、性别、教育、收入等特征,呈现出以"体育参与类"消费项目为主的发展倾向。在"基本体育消费结构"方面,农村居民对于不同项目的体育基本需求支出比例呈非常显著性差异,其中"体育实物类"消费项目消费支出占比较高,"体育参与类、娱乐类"消费支出占比相对较低。在"边际消费倾向"方面,长江三角洲地区农村居民体育边际消费倾向为0.124 989,其中"体育参与类、娱乐类"项目边际消费倾向高于"体育实物类"消费品。在"收入弹性"方面,"体育参与类、娱乐类"消费项目的收入弹性系数均大于1,其消费支出增长幅度大于农村居民收入增加幅度,将成为农村居民体育消费的热点。在"价格弹性"方面,各类体育消费品"自价格弹性系数"介于"-0.253 627~-0.925 218",价格上涨会影响自身需求量。各类体育消费品"交叉弹性系数"介于"-0.000 342~-0.019 751",其中"体育运动服装"项目的交叉价格弹性系数最大,其价格变化能够对其他类别体育消费品产生一定影响。最后提出了优化农村居民体育消费结构的现实路径。
[Abstract]:Based on the methods of literature, questionnaire and mathematical statistics, the characteristics and development trend of sports consumption structure of rural residents in the Yangtze River Delta are analyzed by using the extended linear expenditure system model (ELES model) as an analysis tool. The study shows that there are significant differences in the composition ratio of sports consumption structure among rural residents in the Yangtze River Delta region, with obvious characteristics of age, sex, education, income, etc. The development tendency of consumption items is mainly in the category of sports participation. In the aspect of "basic sports consumption structure", the proportion of rural residents' basic sports demand expenditure on different items is very significant difference, in which the consumption expenditure of "sports kind" consumption items is relatively high, "sports participation category", Entertainment accounts for a relatively low proportion of consumer spending. In terms of "marginal consumption tendency", the marginal consumption tendency of rural residents in the Yangtze River Delta is 0.124 989, in which the marginal consumption tendency of "sports participation category, entertainment category" is higher than that of "sports material goods" consumer goods. In the aspect of "income elasticity", the income elasticity coefficient of "sports participation type and entertainment type" consumption items are all greater than 1, and the increase range of consumption expenditure is larger than that of rural residents' income, which will become the hot spot of rural residents' sports consumption. In terms of "price elasticity", the coefficient of self-price elasticity of all kinds of sports consumer goods is between "- 0.253 627- 0.925 218", which will affect their own demand. The "cross elasticity coefficient" of all kinds of sports consumer goods is between "-0.000 342U -0.019 751", in which the cross-price elasticity coefficient of "sports clothing" items is the largest. Its price change can produce certain influence to other kinds of sports consumables. Finally, the paper puts forward the realistic path to optimize the sports consumption structure of rural residents.
【作者单位】：南京工业大学体育部;南京师范大学体育科学学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目(13BTY014) 教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目(16YJC890011) 国家体育总局体育哲学社会科学研究项目(2344SS16081)
【分类号】：G80-05

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