CBA球队主场优势的变化特征及成因分析

发布时间：2019-03-16 21:05

【摘要】：主场优势是指在体育比赛或运动竞赛过程中,由主场所造成的有利于主队发挥的各种因素。CBA主客场双循环的赛制决定了其主场优势的存在。国内相关研究者很早就注意到这一现象并结合具体项目做了针对性的研究,主要包括对主场优势的概念及影响主场优势因素的研究分析。本研究与之前研究的不同在于重点分析1995-2016赛季CBA球队主场优势的变化特征并进一步找出造成这种变化的成因。国内针对CBA球队主场优势变化特征的研究分析较少,因此,进行该研究很有必要。本文通过大量主客场数据的对比,将主场优势具体化,用主客场胜率差来量化主场优势的变化,通过分析数据得出了以下结论:1、1995-2016赛季CBA联赛的主场优势发生了一些变化,主场优势有下降的趋势。2、2005-2006赛季为CBA联赛的“职业元年”,此赛季前主客场胜率差呈上升趋势,此赛季后主客场胜率差呈下降趋势。在两个主客场胜率差变化大趋势中,又包含了两个上升段和两个下降段。3、1995-2006赛季的主场优势变化主要与观众因素有关,2005-2006赛季后主场优势变化与五个因素的变化都有关系,其中,观众因素对主场优势的变化影响最明显。主场优势的变化与比赛总场次、外援数量、三分球出手总数呈反比关系,与主客场犯规差、观众平均上座率呈正比。
[Abstract]:The home advantage is a variety of factors which are beneficial to the home team in the process of sports or sports competition. The double cycle of the CBA home and away games determines the existence of the home advantage. Domestic researchers have paid attention to this phenomenon for a long time and have done targeted research with specific projects, mainly including the concept of home advantage and the factors affecting home advantage. The difference between this study and the previous study is to analyze the variation characteristics of the home advantage of the CBA team in 1995-2016 season and to find out the causes of the change. There are few studies on the variation characteristics of home advantage of CBA teams in China, so it is necessary to carry out this research. In this paper, through the comparison of a large number of home and away field data, the home advantage is specified, and the change of home advantage is quantified by the difference of home and away winning rate. Through the analysis of the data, the following conclusions are drawn: 1. There have been some changes in the home advantage of the 1995 / 2016 CBA league season. Home advantage has a downward trend. 2, 2005-2006 season for the CBA league "professional first year", the season before the season home and away victory rate difference showed an upward trend, after this season, the main and away game victory rate difference showed a downward trend. In the two main and away win rate difference trends, there are also two upturns and two downturns. 3. The change of home advantage in 1995 / 2006 is mainly related to audience factors. The change of home advantage after 2005-2006 season is related to the change of five factors, among which the audience factor has the most obvious influence on the change of home-court advantage. The change of home court advantage is inversely proportional to the total number of games, the number of foreign aid, and the total number of three-point shots, which is proportional to the foul difference in the main and away games, and the average attendance rate of the audience.
【学位授予单位】：北京体育大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：G841

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