高职教育发展与区域产业结构关系的实证研究——基于重庆市1999-2014年数据的格兰杰因果关系检验

发布时间：2018-04-15 06:16

本文选题：高职教育 + 三大产业　；参考：《职教论坛》2017年30期

【摘要】：高等职业教育与区域产业之间存在着相互影响的关系。基于重庆1999-2014年的时间序列数据,利用Eviews 8.0和Stata 12.0软件分析工具,运用格兰杰因果关系检验方法对重庆高职教育发展规模与其三大产业发展水平之间的关系进行了检验。其检验结果表明:(1)重庆第二产业发展水平是引起重庆高职教育规模发展变化的格兰杰原因;(2)重庆高职教育规模发展是引起重庆第三产业发展水平变化的格兰杰原因;(3)重庆高职教育发展与其三大产业发展水平之间还没有形成良性互动发展关系。因此,必须基于高职教育供给侧的视角进行改革,构建重庆高职教育与地方经济协调互动发展机制:一是加强内涵建设,提高高职教育人才培养质量;二是优化专业结构,动态满足重庆地方经济的产业结构需求;三是优化人才培养结构,提升人才培养层次等政策建议。
[Abstract]:The relationship between higher vocational education and regional industry is interactive.Based on the time series data of Chongqing from 1999 to 2014, using Eviews 8.0 and Stata 12.0 software analysis tools, this paper uses Granger causality test method to test the relationship between the development scale of Chongqing higher vocational education and the development level of its three industries.The test results show that: 1) the development level of the secondary industry in Chongqing is the Granger cause of the change in the scale of higher vocational education in Chongqing; (2) the development of the scale of higher vocational education in Chongqing is the Granger original cause of the change in the development level of the tertiary industry in ChongqingThe relationship between the development of Chongqing higher vocational education and the development level of its three major industries has not yet formed a positive interactive development relationship.Therefore, we must carry on the reform based on the perspective of the supply side of higher vocational education, and construct the interactive development mechanism between Chongqing higher vocational education and local economy: first, strengthen the connotation construction, improve the quality of higher vocational education talent training; second, optimize the professional structure.The third is to optimize the talent training structure and raise the level of talent training.
【作者单位】：西南大学教育学部;重庆青年职业技术学院;
【基金】：重庆市社会科学规划一般项目“高职教育与地方经济协同发展机制研究”(编号:2013YBMK150),主持人:周优文
【分类号】：G719.2

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