长江经济带城镇化对就业格局的空间效应研究

发布时间：2018-01-09 03:07

本文关键词：长江经济带城镇化对就业格局的空间效应研究　出处：《统计与决策》2017年17期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：文章基于空间杜宾模型(SDM),对长江经济带城镇化对就业格局的空间效应进行了分析。结果表明:长江经济带是城镇化与抚养负担抑制-工业规模拉动的复杂型就业格局;城镇化对就业格局的空间效应的接收与发射显示进入了城镇化本地陷阱与竞争陷阱,后者效应为前者的2倍;接收与发射区位上均源自或发向本区,下中上游依次为60%、84%、100%和61%、71%、100%,交互方面上游与中游或下游间为空白路径,中游、下游间陷入竞争陷阱。
[Abstract]:This paper is based on the spatial Doberman model (SDM). This paper analyzes the spatial effects of urbanization on employment pattern in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. The results show that the Yangtze Economic Belt is a complex employment pattern driven by urbanization and burden suppression and industrial scale pull; The reception and emission of the spatial effect of urbanization on the employment pattern shows that the urbanization has entered the local trap and the competition trap, and the latter effect is twice as much as the former; The receiving and launching location are from or to this area, the lower and upper reaches are 60 / 84% and 61 / 71 / 100 respectively, and the interaction between upstream and middle reaches or downstream is a blank path. In the middle, the lower reaches fall into the trap of competition.
【作者单位】：淮北师范大学经济学院;
【基金】：安徽省哲学社会科学规划项目(AHSK11-12D275) 安徽省教育厅人文社科重点研究基地重点项目(SK2015A092;SK2015A093)
【分类号】：F249.27;F299.27
【正文快照】： 0引言长期以来,学界十分关注城镇化对就业的影响,出现了针锋相对的促进论与促退论。促进论立足现代化规律,认为城镇化能促进产业协同创新[12,],引起传统产业、新兴产业、现代服务业的交互融合[3,4],从而增强就业吸纳能力[5,6];促退论则从全球产业链分工视角,认为后起国家处于

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