进出口贸易对我国物流业能源效率的影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-18 08:19

本文关键词：进出口贸易对我国物流业能源效率的影响研究　出处：《东南大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：物流业是生产性服务业的重要组成部分,对我国社会经济的发展具有重大意义,但因为长期处于高投入、高排放、低产出的粗放式发展模式,物流业已成为我国仅次于工业的能源消耗大户。在世界各国倡导低碳经济的大环境下,要想提高我国物流业的国际竞争力,提升能源效率是关键。伴随着全球经济一体化和国际分工的深化,物流业也在不断延伸和发展,对外贸易竞争的加剧会对物流业的发展提出更高的要求。改革开放以来,我国对外贸易快速发展,并逐渐奠定了"货物贸易大国"和"世界工厂"的地位,对外贸易已成为影响我国经济、社会发展的重要因素。因此,基于开放视角探讨进出口贸易对我国物流业能源效率的影响渠道与影响程度,对我国执行碳减排政策具有重要的现实意义。首先,本文利用DEA非参数数据包络分析法测算了 2003-2014年我国30个省份的物流业能源效率,在与我国对外贸易的统计分析与对比中发现:二者均存在相似的地区差异和时间拐点。其次,在理论分析的基础上,利用省际面板数据模型,先从总体上进行进出口贸易对我国物流业能源效率的回归分析,接着从地区、贸易方式和贸易主体三方面进行了分类研究;结果发现:出口贸易和进口贸易都有利于提升我国的物流业能源效率,其中进口贸易的影响相对更大且更显著;都表现为由东部地区到西部地区不断减小并最终转为抑制作用;加工贸易出口和进口都能显著提升物流业能源效率,且提升作用都比一般贸易大;内资企业出口在一定程度上降低了物流业能源效率而外资企业出口显著提升了物流业能源效率,但内资企业进口比起外资企业进口更有利于提升物流业能源效率。然后,借助进出口生产诱发模型、产业关联性计算等投入产出方法进一步探讨了出口贸易和进口贸易对物流业能源效率的影响机理,结果发现:出口贸易对物流业的引致效应更大,出口贸易中与物流业强相关的高能耗行业较多,可能使出口贸易引致的物流需求仍然停留在较低端的传统储运模式;出口贸易的物流外包率较低,可能抑制了物流业有效需求的释放和物流业能源效率的提升。最后,在实证结果的基础上,就如何提升物流业能源效率提出了针对性的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Logistics industry is an important part of producer services, which is of great significance to the development of our social economy, but because of the long-term high input, high emissions, low output extensive development model. Logistics industry has become the second largest consumer of energy consumption after industry in China. In the world advocate low-carbon economy environment, to improve the international competitiveness of China's logistics industry. Improving energy efficiency is the key. With the deepening of global economic integration and international division of labor, the logistics industry is also expanding and developing. The intensification of foreign trade competition will put forward higher requirements for the development of logistics industry. Since the reform and opening up, China's foreign trade has developed rapidly, and gradually established the status of "big country of goods trade" and "world factory". Foreign trade has become an important factor affecting the economic and social development of our country. Therefore, based on the open perspective, the influence of import and export trade on the energy efficiency of logistics industry in China is discussed. It has important practical significance to implement carbon emission reduction policy in China. Firstly, this paper calculates the energy efficiency of logistics industry in 30 provinces of China from 2003 to 2014 by using DEA non-parametric data envelopment analysis method. In the statistical analysis and comparison with China's foreign trade, it is found that there are similar regional differences and time inflection points between the two countries. Secondly, based on the theoretical analysis, the interprovincial panel data model is used. Firstly, the regression analysis of the import and export trade to the energy efficiency of the logistics industry in China is carried out, and then the classification research is carried out from the three aspects of the region, the trade mode and the main body of trade. The results show that both export trade and import trade are beneficial to improve the energy efficiency of logistics industry in China, and the impact of import trade is relatively greater and more significant. All of them were gradually reduced from the eastern region to the western region and finally turned to the inhibitory effect. Both export and import of processing trade can significantly improve the energy efficiency of logistics industry, and the role of promotion is greater than that of general trade; To a certain extent, the export of domestic enterprises reduces the energy efficiency of logistics industry, while the export of foreign-funded enterprises significantly improves the energy efficiency of logistics industry. However, the import of domestic enterprises is more conducive to improving the energy efficiency of logistics industry than the import of foreign enterprises. Then, with the help of the model of import and export induced production. Input-output methods, such as industrial relevance calculation, further explore the mechanism of the impact of export trade and import trade on the energy efficiency of logistics industry. The results show that export trade has a greater effect on logistics industry. There are more high energy consumption industries in export trade, which may make the logistics demand caused by export trade still stay at the lower end of the traditional storage and transportation mode. The low rate of logistics outsourcing in export trade may inhibit the release of effective demand and the improvement of energy efficiency of logistics industry. Finally, on the basis of empirical results. This paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to improve the energy efficiency of logistics industry.
【学位授予单位】：东南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F259.2;F752.6

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