制造商与物流公司演化博弈系统动力学模型

发布时间：2018-01-23 13:08

本文关键词： 供应链博弈论道德风险系统动力学　出处：《机械设计与制造》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：针对目前制造商与物流公司之间所存在的道德风险问题,利用演化博弈理论和系统动力学理论研究了双方策略博弈的演化过程,提出了能够降低该供应链中道德风险的策略。首先基于制造商和物流公司合作过程中的诚信和败德行为,建立了其道德风险的演化博弈模型并分析了演化路径。根据制造商与物流公司的博弈演化模型建立了它们的系统动力学模型,利用vensim PLE5.6a软件仿真系统动力学模型验证了演化博弈模型的分析结果。最后利用仿真分析结果提出了能够有效降低供应链道德风险的双边动态惩罚策略。
[Abstract]:Aiming at the moral hazard between manufacturers and logistics companies, the evolutionary process of strategy game between manufacturers and logistics companies is studied by using evolutionary game theory and system dynamics theory. A strategy to reduce the moral hazard in the supply chain is put forward. Firstly, it is based on the integrity and moral behavior of the manufacturer and the logistics company in the process of cooperation. The evolutionary game model of moral hazard is established and the evolutionary path is analyzed. The system dynamics model is established according to the game evolution model of manufacturer and logistics company. Using vensim. The simulation system dynamics model of PLE5.6a software verifies the analysis results of evolutionary game model. Finally, a two-sided dynamic penalty strategy is proposed to effectively reduce the moral hazard of supply chain.
【作者单位】：中国矿业大学矿业学院;
【分类号】：F224.32;F259.23;F425
【正文快照】： 1引言目前许多制造商将产品配送外包给物流公司,但是物流公司有时无法准时安全地送达货物,制造商因而失去客户。因此制造商必须和物流公司建立长期有效的合作关系避免这个问题的发生。这个问题就是供应链中所存在的道德风险。当前学术界将博弈论作为研究供应链道德风险的一个

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