国际工程项目的脆弱性与政治风险的相关性研究

发布时间：2018-02-28 00:08

本文关键词： 脆弱性政治风险国际工程承包商　出处：《北京理工大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在分析国际工程政治风险形成机理的基础上,通过文献综述法识别22个国际工程项目的脆弱性影响因素,并采用因子分析法建立国际工程项目的脆弱性评价指标;通过问卷调查法获得134个国际工程项目的信息和政治风险损失,并采用TOPSIS法测量其工程项目的脆弱性,分析两者的相关性。结果表明:政治风险是工程项目外部干扰和系统脆弱性相互耦合的结果,在相同干扰度下,国际工程项目的脆弱性与风险损失存在显著正相关。国际承包商可以依据工程项目的脆弱评价指标以及脆弱性与政治风险的关系,不断改善和降低工程项目的脆弱性,从而更好地应对政治风险,并形成自身的竞争优势。
[Abstract]:Based on the analysis of the formation mechanism of international engineering political risks, the factors affecting the vulnerability of 22 international engineering projects are identified by literature review method, and the vulnerability evaluation indexes of international engineering projects are established by factor analysis method. The information and political risk loss of 134 international engineering projects were obtained by questionnaire, and the vulnerability of their projects was measured by TOPSIS method. The results show that the political risk is the result of mutual coupling between the external interference and the system vulnerability of the project, and under the same degree of interference, There is a significant positive correlation between the vulnerability of the international engineering project and the risk loss. According to the vulnerability evaluation index of the project and the relationship between the vulnerability and the political risk, the international contractor can continuously improve and reduce the vulnerability of the project. In order to better deal with political risks and form their own competitive advantage.
【作者单位】：东南大学土木工程学院;广州地铁设计研究院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金面上项目资助“国际工程中政治风险的集成度量及智能决策研究:理论、实证及应用”(71372199)
【分类号】：D0;F283

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