不同限购类型城市房地产市场调控效果分析——基于北京和天津的实证

发布时间：2018-03-11 15:51

本文选题：房地产　切入点：限购政策　出处：《天津商业大学学报》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：从2010年5月开始,限购政策逐渐成部分城市政府调控房地产市场的重要手段,特别是一些城市还经历了一个限购政策推出、取消和再推出的过程。然而,在继续执行限购政策和取消限购政策的两类城市中,限购政策的调控效果究竟如何值得关注。论文从以上两类限购类型城市中选择了北京和天津两座城市为研究对象,采用文献资料法和统计分析法对限购政策的实施效果进行了实证分析。研究结果显示,限购政策实施前后,北京市在住宅施工面积、住宅新开工面积和住宅竣工面积3个指标上差异显著,其中后两个指标与政策预期调控方向一致;天津市在房地产开发投资完成额、住宅开发投资完成额、住宅施工面积、住宅销售面积4个指标上差异显著,但均与政策调控方向相反。综上所述可以认为,无论是对坚持执行限购政策的城市,还是对取消限购政策的城市来说,当前限购政策的调控效果均不理想,要想达到一定的住宅市场调控目标,就必须对当前限购政策的内容进行调整,增强其针对性。
[Abstract]:Since May 2010, the purchase restriction policy has gradually become an important means for some city governments to regulate the real estate market, especially some cities have also gone through a process of the introduction, cancellation and re-introduction of the purchase restriction policy. However, In the two kinds of cities that continue to implement the limited purchase policy and cancel the restriction policy, it is worth paying attention to how to control the effect of the restriction policy. This paper chooses Beijing and Tianjin as the research objects from the above two types of cities. This paper makes an empirical analysis on the effect of the limited purchase policy by using the method of literature and statistical analysis. The results show that before and after the implementation of the restriction policy, the construction area of Beijing is in residence. There are significant differences in the three indexes of housing newly started area and residential completed area, among which the latter two indexes are in line with the expected control direction of policy, and Tianjin has completed investment in real estate development, residential development investment, residential construction area, etc. There are significant differences in the four indicators of residential sales area, but all of them are opposite to the direction of policy control. The control effect of the current purchase restriction policy is not ideal. In order to achieve a certain housing market regulation goal, we must adjust the content of the current purchase restriction policy and strengthen its pertinence.
【作者单位】：华中师范大学公共管理学院;华中科技大学国土资源与不动产研究中心;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究项目“保障性住房建设的模式选择与长效机制研究:基于城市分类的视角”(14YJCZH102)
【分类号】：F299.23

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