基于投入产出的京津冀生产性服务业与制造业互动研究

发布时间：2018-03-14 13:20

本文选题：生产性服务业　切入点：制造业　出处：《天津理工大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：伴随世界经济的增长,“工业经济”逐渐向“服务经济”改变,生产性服务业渐渐成为服务业发展中的核心产业。生产性服务业和现代制造业在产业分工上存在着多样的联系,是推动区域经济发展的主要力量,两者的融合、协调发展将极大地促进区域经济的发展。京津冀协同发展已提上日程,生产性服务业与制造业的产业互动,有利于产业结构转型升级。所以,分析研究京津冀生产性服务业与制造业的互动关系,探究科学的路径与对策。本文以经济发展相对较为成熟的京津冀为研究对象,首先,从产值和产业结构角度分析京津冀的产业发展现状,采用变异系数法从经济、就业角度分析京津冀生产性服务业与制造业发展现状和区域差异。其次,从价值创造能力和经济辐射能力方面对目前生产性服务业与制造业的经济价值进行定量分析。然后,通过投入产出法测算京津冀生产性服务业与制造业的互动需求和各个部门对产业互动的波及效应进行评价分析。研究结果表明:京津冀生产性服务业发展迅速,在经济发展中起到良好的促进作用;京津冀生产性服务业的价值创造能力及其对经济的辐射能力高于制造业的价值创造能力和经济辐射能力,与制造业相比,生产性服务业在京津冀经济发展中具有更大的发展潜力;生产性服务业对制造业的中间需求偏低,整体呈需求递减趋势,制造业对该产业需求来源以物流服务业为主;京津冀各省市内制造业对生产性服务业的波及效应相对高于生产性服务业对制造业,北京生产性服务业与制造业之间的互动相对高于天津和河北地区,但整体水平仍然偏低。京津冀省市间生产性服务业与制造业互动水平低于其同产业间互动水平,生产性服务业对制造业的促进作用高于制造业对生产性服务业,产业互动整体呈现缓慢上升趋势。
[Abstract]:With the growth of the world economy, the "industrial economy" has gradually changed to the "service economy", and the producer service industry has gradually become the core industry in the development of the service industry, and there are various links between the producer service industry and the modern manufacturing industry in the industrial division of labor. The integration and coordinated development of the two will greatly promote the development of regional economy. The coordinated development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei has been put on the agenda, and the industrial interaction between producer services and manufacturing industry has been put on the agenda. Therefore, this paper analyzes the interaction between Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei producer services and manufacturing industry, and probes into the scientific path and countermeasures. This paper takes Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, which is relatively mature in economic development, as the research object. From the angle of output value and industrial structure, this paper analyzes the present situation of industrial development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, adopts the coefficient of variation method to analyze the present situation and regional differences between producer service industry and manufacturing industry from the angle of economy and employment. Quantitative analysis of the current economic value of producer services and manufacturing industries in terms of value creation capacity and economic radiation capacity. Through the input-output method to estimate the interaction demand between Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei producer services and manufacturing industry, and to evaluate and analyze the ripple effect of industrial interaction in various sectors, the results show that the producer services in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei develop rapidly. The value creation ability of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei producer services and its radiation ability to economy are higher than those of manufacturing industry, and compared with manufacturing industry, the value creation ability and economic radiation ability of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei are higher than those of manufacturing industry. Producer services have greater development potential in the economic development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, the intermediate demand of producer services to manufacturing industry is low, the overall demand is decreasing, and the main source of manufacturing demand for this industry is logistics service industry. The effect of manufacturing on producer services in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei provinces is higher than that on producer services, and the interaction between producer services and manufacturing industry in Beijing is higher than that in Tianjin and Hebei. However, the overall level is still low. The interaction level between producer service and manufacturing industry in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei provinces is lower than that in manufacturing industry, and the promotion effect of producer service to manufacturing is higher than that of manufacturing to producer service. Industrial interaction as a whole shows a slow upward trend.
【学位授予单位】：天津理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F719;F427;F223

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