基于云模型的水利PPP项目投资风险评价

发布时间：2018-03-18 00:06

本文选题：水利工程　切入点：投资风险评价　出处：《水电能源科学》2017年08期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：随着PPP模式在水利工程中的应用越来越多,其风险也越来越突出,为准确评价水利工程PPP项目投资风险,提出基于云模型的模糊综合评价模型。首先建立水利PPP项目投资风险评价指标体系,根据PPP项目库专家的反馈,确定评价指标重要性程度标准表和风险评价等级标准表,然后由PPP项目专家对各评价指标进行定量评分和定性权重,再计算云参数,确定水利PPP项目投资风险模糊综合评价云模型,通过观察云图判断投资风险可接受程度等级。在湖南省莽山水库PPP项目的应用结果表明,该方法可为水利PPP项目投资风险论证提供一定的理论指导。
[Abstract]:With more and more application of PPP model in water conservancy project, its risk is more and more prominent. In order to evaluate the investment risk of PPP project of water conservancy project accurately, The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model based on cloud model is put forward. Firstly, the index system of investment risk evaluation of water conservancy PPP project is established. According to the feedback from experts of PPP project library, the evaluation index importance degree standard table and risk evaluation grade standard table are determined. Then, the evaluation index is evaluated quantitatively and qualitatively by PPP project experts, then the cloud parameters are calculated, and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation cloud model of investment risk of water conservancy PPP project is determined. By observing the cloud map to judge the acceptable degree of investment risk, the application of this method in the PPP project of Guangshan Reservoir in Hunan Province shows that this method can provide certain theoretical guidance for the investment risk demonstration of water conservancy PPP project.
【作者单位】：三峡大学水利与环境学院;宜昌市审计局;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(51379110)
【分类号】：F283;F426.91

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