极化还是均衡:重塑大国经济地理的战略选择——城市规模分布变化和影响因素的跨国分析

发布时间：2018-03-22 03:28

本文选题：国家经济地理　切入点：大国　出处：《地理学报》2017年08期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：关于国家空间发展战略,经济学家主张要素向中国沿海发达地区自由流动,而城市和经济地理学家则认为应对不发达地区发展给予支持。本文以国家尺度的城市规模分布来测度经济地理格局和城市化空间结构,综合运用截面和面板双重估计方法,探索了国家经济地理格局与国家规模的关系。结论显示,在控制了其他因素后,表征国家规模的人口规模和国土面积与国家经济地理的均衡分布呈现显著正相关,即大国的经济地理倾向于多中心均衡布局。机制在于,经济中心的辐射半径不是无限的,地理或者更准确地说是距离对于生产力和城市化布局具有重要作用。此外,随着经济水平的提高,国家经济地理格局呈现先极化后均衡的演化趋势;城市化率和非农产业比重的提高以及稳定的政治环境同样也会促进国家经济地理格局向均衡方向发展。再考虑到国家安全、社会稳定的政治诉求和中国地大物博的既有现实,本文政策启示是,大国的经济地理和城市化格局应该走适度均衡发展之路,国家采取空间干预政策促进中国不发达地区的发展有其合理性和必要性。
[Abstract]:With regard to the national spatial development strategy, economists advocate the free flow of elements to the developed coastal areas of China. However, urban and economic geologists believe that the development of underdeveloped areas should be supported. In this paper, the urban size distribution of national scale is used to measure the economic geographical pattern and urbanization spatial structure, and the dual estimation method of cross-section and panel is used comprehensively. The relationship between the national economic geography pattern and the national scale is explored. The conclusion shows that after controlling for other factors, the population size and land area representing the national scale are significantly positively correlated with the balanced distribution of the national economic geography. The mechanism is that the radiative radius of the economic center is not infinite, geography or, more precisely, distance plays an important role in the distribution of productivity and urbanization. With the improvement of economic level, the national economic geographical pattern shows the evolution trend of first polarization and then equilibrium; The increase in urbanization rate, the proportion of non-agricultural industries and the stable political environment will also promote the development of the national economic geographical pattern in a balanced direction. The policy revelation of this paper is that the economic geography and urbanization pattern of big countries should take the road of moderate balanced development, and it is reasonable and necessary for the state to adopt the policy of space intervention to promote the development of underdeveloped areas in China.
【作者单位】：华东师范大学中国现代城市研究中心;华东师范大学城市与区域科学学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41471139) 教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地基金(16JJD790012) 上海哲学社会科学规划课题(2014BCK003)~~
【分类号】：F299.2

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