逃离“北上广深”背景下一线城市房价涟漪效应研究

发布时间：2018-04-11 03:19

本文选题：逃离“北上广深” + 一线城市房价　；参考：《系统工程理论与实践》2017年02期

【摘要】：本文基于逃离"北上广深"背景,研究了一线城市对二三线城市的房价涟漪效应,并从城市规模大小、距一线城市远近和涟漪效应高低三个方面,对比分析各因素对涟漪效应的影响.研究发现:1)逃离"北上广深"背景下,产业相似度、生活舒适性差距、交通便捷性、住房市场信息距离、社会文化距离、就业增长率、开放度和总储蓄均对涟漪效应表现出显著促进作用;2)二线城市各因素的影响程度均大于三线城市;3)随着与一线城市距离的增加,产业相似度、交通便捷性、就业增长率和开放度的影响呈递减趋势,生活舒适性差距呈递增趋势,住房市场信息距离和总储蓄基本与距离无关;4)随分位数提高,多数变量的影响程度增强,表现出"加速效应".
[Abstract]:Based on the background of escaping from "going northward to Guangshen", this paper studies the ripple effect of the housing price of the first-tier city on the second and third tier cities, and from three aspects: the size of the city, the distance from the first-tier city and the ripple effect.The influence of various factors on ripple effect was analyzed.The study found that under the background of "going northward to Guangshen", the study found that under the background of "going northward to Guangshen", the industrial similarity, the difference of life comfort, the convenience of traffic, the information distance of housing market, the social and cultural distance, the employment growth rate,The degree of influence of every factor in the second line city is greater than that in the third line city (3) with the increase of distance with the first-tier city, the similarity of industry and the convenience of traffic.The influence of employment growth rate and openness is decreasing, the gap of living comfort is increasing, the information distance and total savings of housing market are basically independent of distance (4) with the increase of quantiles, the influence degree of most variables is increased.Show "acceleration effect".
【作者单位】：南京财经大学江苏产业发展研究院;南京财经大学国际经贸学院;东南大学经济管理学院;江苏省财政厅;
【基金】：江苏省社科基金重点项目(14EYA003);江苏省社科基金重大项目(14ZD011) 国家社科基金重点项目(15AJY009)~~
【分类号】：F299.23

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