江西省新型城镇化驱动因素研究

发布时间：2018-04-21 21:22

本文选题：新型城镇化 + 驱动因素　；参考：《江西财经大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：新型城镇化是我国产业结构调整的重要抓手,是实现城乡一体化的根本途径,是社会主义现代化建设的必由之路。新型城镇化的提出在立足于我国基本国情的基础上也满足了时代发展的需要。从目前来看,江西省城镇化的发展水平较低,并由于过去粗放式的发展方式而遗留下了很多问题,从而阻碍了江西省经济社会的发展,是以,研究江西新型城镇化问题成了赤手可热的新课题。在此背景下,本文以新型城镇化驱动因素为研究主题,以江西省11个设区市为研究对象,以城乡二元结构理论和区域产业结构演变理论为理论依据,结合国内外研究成果和江西新型城镇化的实际发展情况,测度了江西新型城镇化的发展水平,分析归纳了其中具有代表性的驱动因素,提出了如何加速推进江西新型城镇化的对策。本文采用的是江西省2000-2014年各设区市的各个指标的数据,将江西新型城镇化驱动因素分为基础条件、产业发展、主体行为和外源经济四大类,并选取四类驱动因素下相对应的12个子指标,构建了指标体系。在此基础上,本文运用Spss进行主成分分析得出四类因素的相应得分,以此作为自变量,再选用基于熵权法的江西新型城镇化水平测度结果作为因变量,从而构建多元线性回归模型,分析各大因素对江西新型城镇化的驱动力大小。实证结果显示,产业发展因素是江西新型城镇化中主要的驱动力;基础条件因素则是提供了基础性的驱动力;主体行为因素中,政府仍在江西新型城镇化进程中发挥着重要的引导作用,农民受利益驱动而产生的从农村流向城市的行为所产生的驱动作用明显;外源经济因素的驱动作用在目前来看是有限的。最后,本文根据理论分析和实证分析的结果,就如何加速推进江西新型城镇化进程问题提出了优化产业结构,加大投资力度,完善基础条件,优化政府行为,加强对外贸易,提高外资利用水平等若干政策建议。
[Abstract]:New urbanization is an important grasp of industrial structure adjustment in China, a fundamental way to realize the integration of urban and rural areas, and the only way to socialist modernization. New-type urbanization based on the basic conditions of our country also meets the needs of the development of the times. At present, the level of urbanization in Jiangxi Province is relatively low, and because of the extensive way of development in the past, many problems have been left behind, thus hindering the economic and social development of Jiangxi Province. The study of the new urbanization in Jiangxi has become a new hot topic with bare hands. Under this background, this paper takes the driving factor of new urbanization as the research subject, takes 11 districts and cities of Jiangxi Province as the research object, and takes the theory of urban-rural dual structure and the theory of the evolution of regional industrial structure as the theoretical basis. Combined with the domestic and foreign research results and the actual development situation of the new urbanization in Jiangxi, this paper measures the development level of the new urbanization in Jiangxi, and analyzes and summarizes the representative driving factors. This paper puts forward the countermeasures of how to speed up the new urbanization in Jiangxi. This paper adopts the data of every index of Jiangxi Province from 2000 to 2014. The driving factors of Jiangxi's new urbanization are divided into four categories: industrial development, main body behavior and exogenous economy. The index system is constructed by selecting 12 sub-indexes corresponding to four kinds of driving factors. On this basis, this paper uses Spss to carry on the principal component analysis to get the corresponding score of four kinds of factors, which is regarded as the independent variable, and then selects the new urbanization level measure result of Jiangxi based on the entropy weight method as the dependent variable. The multiple linear regression model is constructed and the driving force of each major factor on the new urbanization in Jiangxi is analyzed. The empirical results show that industrial development is the main driving force in the new urbanization in Jiangxi, the basic condition is the basic driving force. The government is still playing an important guiding role in the process of new urbanization in Jiangxi Province. The driving effect of exogenous economic factors is limited at present. Finally, according to the results of theoretical analysis and empirical analysis, this paper puts forward how to speed up the process of promoting the new urbanization in Jiangxi Province, and puts forward some suggestions on how to optimize the industrial structure, increase investment, perfect the basic conditions, optimize government behavior, and strengthen foreign trade. Improve the level of foreign investment utilization and other policy recommendations.
【学位授予单位】：江西财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F299.27

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