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贵州省城市化水平评价及对策研究

发布时间:2018-05-12 11:00

  本文选题:贵州省 + 城市化水平评价 ; 参考:《西安理工大学》2017年硕士论文


【摘要】:城市化是区域经济发展的必由之路。贵州省是我国西南部较为落后的省份。贵州省要加快区域经济发展,对其城市化发展作出切合实际的评价,有针对性地探讨其发展对策,无疑具有十分重要的战略意义。论文从城市化研究动态及相关理论入手,分别从人口、经济、社会三个维度,考察了贵州省城市化现状。在研究了贵州省的城市化现状的基础上,进一步从历史的角度深入考察贵州省城市化进程。通过拟合贵州省城市化进程的时间曲线,发现贵州省城市化进程类似一 Logistic曲线即一条拉伸了的S型曲线,城市化速度先快后慢。Logistic曲线的城市化进程表明,城市人口的增长受制于经济和社会等多种因素影响。在对城市化相关理论综述的基础上,结合贵州省城市化的影响因素分析,从人口、经济、社会三个方面出发,构建贵州省城市化水平评价的指标体系,使用因子分析方法和最小二乘组合赋权方法对贵州城市化水平做出评价。结合城市化阶段划分理论和综合评价结果研究发现:目前贵州省城市化整体水平较低,尚处在城市化初期阶段。从城市化发展趋势分析,贵州省即将进入城市化中期阶段。通过因子分析和组合赋权分析发现经济、人口、社会三个因子对贵州省城市化整体水平的提高有着重要的影响。人口是城市化的主体。人口因子中主要是城乡人口流动性较弱制约着贵州省城市化水平的提高。经济发展是城市化的动力。经济因子中主要是经济效益低下、缺乏特色支柱产业、区域经济增长极作用较弱制约着贵州省城市化水平的提高。社会进步是城市化的支撑。社会因子中落后的基础设施建设和生态环境污染制约着贵州省城市化水平提高。在实证研究的基础上,针对人口、经济、社会三个方面的问题,提出提高贵州省城市化水平的三方面对策建议:加快城乡人口流动;促进区域经济发展;加大基础设施建设以及保护生态环境。
[Abstract]:Urbanization is the only way to regional economic development. Guizhou Province is a backward province in southwest China. It is undoubtedly of great strategic significance for Guizhou Province to speed up the development of regional economy, to make a realistic evaluation of its urbanization development, and to probe into its development countermeasures. Based on the research trends and related theories of urbanization, this paper investigates the present situation of urbanization in Guizhou Province from the three dimensions of population, economy and society. On the basis of studying the present situation of urbanization in Guizhou Province, the urbanization process of Guizhou Province is further investigated from the historical point of view. By fitting the time curve of urbanization process in Guizhou Province, it is found that the urbanization process of Guizhou Province is similar to that of a Logistic curve, that is, a stretched S-shaped curve. The growth of urban population is influenced by many factors, such as economy and society. On the basis of summarizing the related theories of urbanization, combining with the analysis of the influencing factors of urbanization in Guizhou Province, this paper constructs an index system for evaluating the urbanization level of Guizhou Province from the three aspects of population, economy and society. Factor analysis method and least square method are used to evaluate the urbanization level of Guizhou. Combined with the theory of urbanization stage division and the comprehensive evaluation results, it is found that the overall level of urbanization in Guizhou Province is relatively low at present, and it is still in the early stage of urbanization. From the trend of urbanization analysis, Guizhou Province is about to enter the middle stage of urbanization. Through factor analysis and combinatorial weighting analysis, it is found that the three factors of economy, population and society have important influence on the overall level of urbanization in Guizhou Province. Population is the main body of urbanization. Among the population factors, the weak mobility of urban and rural population restricts the improvement of urbanization level in Guizhou Province. Economic development is the driving force of urbanization. Among the economic factors, the low economic benefit, the lack of characteristic pillar industry, the weak function of regional economic growth pole restrict the improvement of urbanization level in Guizhou Province. Social progress is the support of urbanization. The backward infrastructure construction and ecological environment pollution in social factors restrict the urbanization level of Guizhou province. On the basis of empirical research, this paper puts forward three countermeasures to improve the urbanization level of Guizhou province in view of the three aspects of population, economy and society: speeding up the flow of population between urban and rural areas, promoting the development of regional economy; We will increase infrastructure construction and protect the ecological environment.
【学位授予单位】:西安理工大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2017
【分类号】:F299.27

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