湖南省新型城镇化对产业结构升级的影响研究

发布时间：2018-05-30 21:08

本文选题：产业结构升级 + 新型城镇化　；参考：《湖南科技大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：本文选取新型城镇化、产业结构升级两个社会关心、政府高度重视的热点问题,同时选择农业人口比重较大的农业大省—湖南作为研究对象,区别于传统的单一指标—城市人口数量占总人口的比重来衡量城镇化水平,而是根据新型城镇化的“新”从人口、环境、社会、经济四个方面构建四个一级指标,涵盖全方位的城镇化(里面共包含42个小指标);为了反映产业从低级向高级推进的程度,本文选取另一种指标—产业结构高级化率(包含一、二、三产业比重)从更新颖的角度用数据模型来验证新型城镇化不同的方面对产业结构升级的影响。依据湖南特殊的要素禀赋提供符合湖南式的特色城镇化之路的建议。文章在通过对湖南新型城镇化与湖南省产业结构之间的关系进行深入的探讨和分析,得出下结论:1、在进行协整检验中,湖南省产业结构高级化和新型城镇化的经济城镇化、环境城镇化、人口城镇化、社会城镇化以及滞后一期的产业高级化率存在长期均衡关系。短期内,随着人口城镇化,社会城镇化,经济城镇化水平的提高会快速的提升第二,三产业所占比重,从长期来看,湖南省新型城市化综合水平的提高明显地促进了湖南省产业结构升级;2、脉冲响应分析表明,湖南省产业结构高级化受前期产业结构程度和经济城镇化影响比较大。短期内,经济经济城镇以及环境城镇化会迅速提高产业结构升级,人口城镇化对产业结构高级化率作用较为明显,环境城镇化对产业结构升级作用明显;3、从方差分解表来看,经济城镇化和人口城镇化对产业结构高级化影响比较大。这表明,在推进湖南省产业结构调整过程中,政府需要坚持走新型城镇化发展道路,在新型城镇化过程中应该着力提高人均收入水平,加快户籍制度的改革。
[Abstract]:This paper selects two hot issues which are concerned about the new urbanization and upgrading the industrial structure, and the government attaches great importance to them. At the same time, the author chooses Hunan, a large agricultural province with a large proportion of agricultural population, as the research object. Different from the traditional single indicator-the proportion of urban population to the total population to measure the level of urbanization, but according to the new urbanization "new" from the population, environment, society, economic four building four indicators, Covering all aspects of urbanization (which contains 42 small indicators); in order to reflect the degree of industry advancing from low level to high level, this paper selects another indicator-the rate of industrial structure upgrading (including one, two, one, two). From a more novel point of view, the data model is used to verify the impact of different aspects of new urbanization on the upgrading of industrial structure. According to Hunan's special factor endowment, the suggestion of Hunan's characteristic urbanization is provided. Through the deep discussion and analysis of the relationship between Hunan's new urbanization and Hunan's industrial structure, the article draws a conclusion: 1, in the process of cointegration test, Hunan's industrial structure is advanced and the new urbanization is economic urbanization. Environmental urbanization, population urbanization, social urbanization and the lagged industrial advanced rate have a long-term equilibrium relationship. In the short term, with the urbanization of the population, the urbanization of society, and the improvement of the level of economic urbanization, the proportion of the secondary and tertiary industries will increase rapidly. In the long run, The improvement of the comprehensive level of the new urbanization in Hunan Province has obviously promoted the upgrading of the industrial structure of Hunan Province. The impulse response analysis shows that the upgrading of the industrial structure of Hunan Province is greatly affected by the degree of industrial structure and the urbanization of the economy in the early stage. In the short term, economic towns and environmental urbanization will rapidly increase the upgrading of industrial structure. The effect of population urbanization on the rate of industrial structure upgrading is more obvious, and environmental urbanization plays a significant role in upgrading industrial structure. Economic urbanization and population urbanization have a greater impact on industrial structure. This indicates that in the process of promoting the adjustment of industrial structure in Hunan Province, the government should adhere to the new way of urbanization, and should focus on raising the level of per capita income and speeding up the reform of the household registration system in the process of new urbanization.
【学位授予单位】：湖南科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F299.27;F121.3

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