山东省农业现代化与新型城镇化同步协调发展实证研究

发布时间：2018-06-29 16:09

本文选题：农业现代化 + 新型城镇化　；参考：《江苏农业科学》2017年06期

【摘要】：在阐述农业现代化与新型城镇化互动发展原理的基础上,利用协同学思想构建二者之间的耦合协调度模型,结合SPSS软件和因子分析法对山东省2000—2013年农业现代化和新型城镇化的评价指标体系面板数据进行实证分析。结果表明,2001年以后山东省农业现代化与新型城镇化发展水平进入了历史性快车道;山东省两化同步发展的协调耦合度越来越高,由2000年的中级协调逐步发展到2005年的良好协调,2013年进入优质协调阶段;山东省新型城镇化发展水平滞后于农业现代化,且二者差距呈现持续加大趋势;城乡统筹发展进展缓慢导致的城镇化发展质量过低是问题的根本原因。依托数据分析结果,从土地城镇化快于人口城镇化、城乡"二元"分割体制、农业规模化经营、农民受教育水平4个方面总结提出两化同步发展中存在的重点问题,以加大农民培训力度、就地就近城镇化和加大政策与资金补贴力度为突破口,提出切实可行的解决问题的对策与建议。
[Abstract]:On the basis of expounding the interactive development principle of agricultural modernization and new urbanization, the coupling coordination degree model between them is constructed by using the thought of Synergetics. Combined with SPSS software and factor analysis, the panel data of agricultural modernization and new urbanization evaluation index system in Shandong Province from 2000 to 2013 are analyzed empirically. The results show that the development level of agricultural modernization and new urbanization in Shandong Province has entered a historic fast track since 2001, and the coordination and coupling of the two developments are becoming higher and higher. From intermediate coordination in 2000 to good coordination in 2005, in 2013, the level of new urbanization in Shandong Province lags behind agricultural modernization, and the gap between the two shows a trend of increasing. The low quality of urbanization caused by the slow progress of urban and rural overall development is the root cause of the problem. Based on the results of data analysis, the paper summarizes the key problems in the simultaneous development of land urbanization, urbanization faster than population, urban-rural "dual" division system, large-scale management of agriculture and education level of farmers. In order to increase farmers' training, local urbanization and increase policy and fund subsidies as a breakthrough point, practical countermeasures and suggestions to solve the problem are put forward.
【作者单位】：山东省农业可持续发展研究所;山东省农村科技促进中心;
【基金】：国家软科学研究计划(编号:2014GXS4D121) 山东省农业科学院青年科研基金(编号:2014QNM48)
【分类号】：F299.27;F327

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