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中国地级以上城市绿色经济效率的时空格局与影响因素研究

发布时间:2018-08-28 16:31
【摘要】:中国发展绿色经济不仅可以解决本国经济增长的资源环境问题,而且符合世界经济转型的新要求,更是持续增强自身经济实力、参与国际竞争的重要支撑。绿色经济效率则是客观评价我国绿色经济发展情况的重要指标,对于实现经济的可持续发展具有重要意义。因此,本文以2005-2014年中国285个地级以上城市面板数据为样本,采用考虑非期望产出的SBM模型测算各城市绿色经济效率。其次,运用核密度估计、基尼系数、锡尔指数和探索性空间数据分析等方法分析我国绿色经济效率的时空格局。然后,充分考虑到我国绿色经济效率的空间关联性,采用空间面板回归模型来探究其影响因素的作用机制。研究结果表明:(1)中国地级以上城市绿色经济效率平均水平不高,但总体上呈现逐年递增的趋势,由中低级阶段趋向中高级阶段,该趋势得益于我国相关的绿色政策。2007-2009年出现短暂停滞甚至下降的情况,与2008年爆发的金融危机有关。(2)中国绿色经济效率的空间差异显著。从三大区和八大综合经济区尺度上看,我国绿色经济效率分别呈现"马鞍型"格局和"沿海综合经济区三军凸起"格局。从城市尺度上看,呈现出一定规律:其一,一般来说,经济发展水平较高或较低的城市,绿色经济效率较高,而经济发展水平中等的城市,绿色经济效率较低。其二,受某项主导因素影响而存在例外情况,比如污染物排放量极高。其三,绿色经济效率高的城市多为旅游型、农业型和新生型资源城市。(3)中国各城市绿色经济效率存在显著的空间相关性,呈现群状的集聚分布态势。(4)中国绿色经济效率受到很多因素的影响,各因素对不同城市的影响程度不同。总的来看,绿色经济效率与经济发展水平之间存在U型关系,符合库兹涅茨环境曲线规律;外商直接投资、科技创新和政府作用对绿色经济效率具有显著的正向影响;第二产业比重对绿色经济效率具有显著的负向影响,而第三产业相反,故升级优化产业结构可以发挥积极作用;企业清洁生产能力的影响不显著。最后,本文根据研究结果为我国发展绿色经济提出相关政策建议。
[Abstract]:The development of green economy in China can not only solve the problems of resources and environment in China's economic growth, but also meet the new requirements of the world economic transformation. It is also an important support for China to continuously strengthen its own economic strength and participate in international competition. The efficiency of green economy is an important index to objectively evaluate the development of green economy in China. It is of great significance to realize the sustainable development of economy. Therefore, based on the data of 285 cities in China from 2005 to 2014, the green economy efficiency of each city is measured by using the SBM model considering the non-expected output. Secondly, we use the methods of nuclear density estimation, Gini coefficient, Sier index and exploratory spatial data analysis to analyze the spatial and temporal patterns of China's green economy efficiency. Then, considering the spatial relevance of China's green economy efficiency, the spatial panel regression model is used to explore the mechanism of its influencing factors. The results show that: (1) the average level of green economy efficiency in cities above the prefectural level is not high, but the overall trend is increasing year by year, from middle and low stage to middle and high level stage. The trend is due to the temporary stagnation or even decline of China's related green policies in 2007-2009, and is related to the financial crisis that broke out in 2008. (2) the spatial differences in the efficiency of China's green economy are significant. From the scale of the three regions and the eight economic zones, the green economy efficiency of our country presents the pattern of "saddle type" and "the three armed forces of the coastal comprehensive economic zone" respectively. From the view of urban scale, there are some laws: firstly, in general, the green economy efficiency is higher in the cities with higher or lower economic development level, while the green economy efficiency is lower in the middle economic development level cities. Second, there are exceptions due to a dominant factor, such as extremely high emissions of pollutants. Thirdly, most of the cities with high efficiency of green economy are tourist type, agricultural type and new type resource city. (3) there is significant spatial correlation between green economy efficiency of each city in China. (4) the efficiency of China's green economy is affected by many factors, and the influence degree of each factor on different cities is different. Generally speaking, there is a U-type relationship between green economy efficiency and economic development level, which accords with Kuznets environmental curve law, foreign direct investment, scientific and technological innovation and the role of government have significant positive influence on green economy efficiency. The proportion of the secondary industry has a significant negative impact on the efficiency of green economy, but the third industry is opposite, so upgrading and optimizing the industrial structure can play a positive role, while the impact of clean production capacity of enterprises is not significant. Finally, according to the research results, this paper puts forward relevant policy recommendations for the development of green economy in China.
【学位授予单位】:华东师范大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2017
【分类号】:F299.2

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