西部民族地区城镇化群体性事件演化机理及化解对策研究

发布时间：2018-09-01 12:21

【摘要】：近年来,我国城镇化迅猛发展,城镇数量不断增多、规模不断扩大、质量稳步提高,产业与人口的集聚效应显现,经济实力得到大幅度提高。但经济快速发展同时,收入分配不均等、社会保障机制不完善、环境污染等问题凸显,由此引发的大量群体性事件更是引起国内外高度关注。尤其是我国西部民族地区地理位置特殊,对自然环境的依赖性强,长久以来都是以传统农业为主导产业推动经济发展,但恶劣的自然环境和漫长的耕作期凸显了传统农业的脆弱性,大部分城市经济发展速度缓慢,人均基本收入远远低于中东部地区。同时少数民族分布广泛,社会大众受种族、宗教等非正式制度因子影响很大,导致这些地区将会更容易爆发大规模的群体性事件,不仅会阻碍区域均衡发展,也会对我国社会稳定造成极大危害。如何在城镇化大背景下,有效预防并化解西部民族地区群体性事件,建立健全相应的预警与处理机制,已经成为一项社会和谐发展迫切的任务。本次研究基于社会学、运筹学等相关理论,采用文献研究法、群案例分析法、理论与实际相结合等方法展开研究。首先对近年来典型的西部民族地区城镇化群体性事件进行了深刻剖析,将西部民族地区城镇化群体性事件演化过程分为酝酿、激化、全面爆发、平息四个阶段,并提炼出事件演化过程中起重要作用的城镇化大背景、诱发事件、主观判断、群体心理、群体特征5个影响因子。其次根据相关理论提出变量之间复杂因果关系的假设,建立西部民族地区城镇化群体性事件动态演化模型,与“晋宁冲突”相结合,设计并发放调查问卷,运用SPSS18.0以及AMOS22.0软件对回收的有效问卷进行分析,结果显示量表的信度与效度都很高,采用结构方程模型对模型及假设进行检验,得出模型各项拟合指标均达到拟合标准,变量之间的假设全部成立,总结归纳出西部民族地区城镇化群体性事件演化机理。最后以社会燃烧理论为基础,结合实证分析结果,提出减少“燃烧物质”、减少“助燃物质”、完善“消防机制”的化解对策与建议,以建立我国西部民族地区城镇化群体性事件长效化解机制。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the rapid development of urbanization in China, the number of cities and towns is increasing, the scale is expanding, the quality is improving steadily, the agglomeration effect of industry and population is obvious, and the economic strength is greatly improved. However, with the rapid development of economy, the income distribution is not equal, the social security mechanism is not perfect, the environmental pollution and other problems are prominent, and a large number of group events caused by this cause great concern at home and abroad. In particular, the western minority areas in China have a special geographical location and strong dependence on the natural environment. For a long time, traditional agriculture has been the leading industry in promoting economic development. However, the poor natural environment and the long cultivation period highlight the fragility of traditional agriculture. The economic development rate of most cities is slow, and the per capita basic income is far lower than that of the central and eastern regions. At the same time, ethnic minorities are widely distributed, and the general public is greatly influenced by informal institutional factors such as race and religion, which will lead to the outbreak of mass incidents on a large scale in these areas, which will not only hinder the balanced development of the region, It will also do great harm to the social stability of our country. Under the background of urbanization, it has become an urgent task for the harmonious development of society to effectively prevent and resolve the group events in the western ethnic areas and to establish and perfect the corresponding early warning and handling mechanism. This study is based on sociology, operational research and other related theories, using literature research, group case analysis, theory and practice combined to carry out the research. First of all, the typical urbanization group events in western minority areas in recent years are deeply analyzed, and the evolution process of urbanization group events in western minority areas is divided into four stages: brewing, intensifying, comprehensively erupting and calming down. It also abstracts five influencing factors, which play an important role in the evolution of events, such as the background of urbanization, induced events, subjective judgment, group psychology and group characteristics. Secondly, based on the hypothesis of complex causality between variables, the dynamic evolution model of urbanization group events in western minority areas is established, which is combined with "Jinning conflict" to design and distribute questionnaires. SPSS18.0 and AMOS22.0 software were used to analyze the valid questionnaire. The results showed that the reliability and validity of the scale were very high. The structural equation model was used to test the model and hypothesis, and the fitting indexes of the model were all up to the fitting standard. All the assumptions between variables are established and the evolution mechanism of urbanization group events in western ethnic areas is summarized. Finally, based on the theory of social combustion, combined with the results of empirical analysis, the paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions to reduce "burning matter", reduce "combustible substance" and perfect "fire protection mechanism". In order to establish the long-term resolving mechanism of the urbanization group events in the western minority areas of our country.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F299.27

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