市场潜力、政府干预与人口城市化
发布时间:2018-09-11 06:27
【摘要】:文章在新经济地理理论框架下构建理论和计量模型,采用系统GMM方法探讨了2003~2014年中国283个地级及以上城市国际、国内市场潜力及政府干预对人口城市化的影响。结果显示,国际和国内市场潜力均显著推进了人口城市化,而政府的过度干预削弱了市场潜力的人口城市化效应;国内市场潜力对城市化的作用由东向西依次递减,而国际市场潜力的作用效果东部地区最大,西部次之,中部最小。政府干预对城市化进程中内外市场潜力的抑制作用由东向西依次递增。其中,政府干预显著削弱了全国及中、西部地区国内外市场潜力的人口城市化效应,但未对东部地区市场潜力产生明显影响。国际和国内市场对城市化的影响在整体上存在替代性,但从不同地区来看,国际市场和国内市场在东部地区表现为互补性,在中部地区表现为替代性,而在西部地区却未产生明显的交互影响。
[Abstract]:In this paper, a theoretical and econometric model is constructed under the framework of the new economic geography theory, and a systematic GMM method is used to study the effects of market potential and government intervention on population urbanization in 283 cities in China from 2003 to 2014. The results show that both international and domestic market potential significantly promote population urbanization, while excessive government intervention weakens the population urbanization effect of market potential, and the effect of domestic market potential on urbanization decreases from east to west. The effect of international market potential is the biggest in the east, followed by the west and the middle. The inhibitory effect of government intervention on the potential of internal and external markets in the process of urbanization increases from east to west. Government intervention significantly weakens the population urbanization effect of the domestic and foreign market potential in the country and the central and western regions, but does not have a significant impact on the market potential in the eastern region. The influence of international and domestic markets on urbanization exists substitution on the whole, but in different regions, the international and domestic markets are complementary in the eastern region and alternative in the central region. In the western region, however, there is no obvious interaction.
【作者单位】: 南京审计大学政治与经济研究院;中国社会科学院城市发展与环境研究所;
【基金】:国家自然科学基金项目“适宜性产业集聚视角下的人口城镇化空间推进机制研究”(编号:71603124)的阶段性成果
【分类号】:C922;F299.2
,
本文编号:2235879
[Abstract]:In this paper, a theoretical and econometric model is constructed under the framework of the new economic geography theory, and a systematic GMM method is used to study the effects of market potential and government intervention on population urbanization in 283 cities in China from 2003 to 2014. The results show that both international and domestic market potential significantly promote population urbanization, while excessive government intervention weakens the population urbanization effect of market potential, and the effect of domestic market potential on urbanization decreases from east to west. The effect of international market potential is the biggest in the east, followed by the west and the middle. The inhibitory effect of government intervention on the potential of internal and external markets in the process of urbanization increases from east to west. Government intervention significantly weakens the population urbanization effect of the domestic and foreign market potential in the country and the central and western regions, but does not have a significant impact on the market potential in the eastern region. The influence of international and domestic markets on urbanization exists substitution on the whole, but in different regions, the international and domestic markets are complementary in the eastern region and alternative in the central region. In the western region, however, there is no obvious interaction.
【作者单位】: 南京审计大学政治与经济研究院;中国社会科学院城市发展与环境研究所;
【基金】:国家自然科学基金项目“适宜性产业集聚视角下的人口城镇化空间推进机制研究”(编号:71603124)的阶段性成果
【分类号】:C922;F299.2
,
本文编号:2235879
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