新型城镇化及其协调发展测度——以京津冀城市群为例

发布时间：2019-01-01 09:22

【摘要】：从人口、经济、土地、社会、生态城镇化及城乡统筹等层面构建京津冀城市群新型城镇化评价体系,结合熵值赋权法测度指标权重,利用协调发展度与空间自相关,探讨2003—2012年10年间京津冀地级市新型城镇化及各类型城镇化协调发展程度的时空变化趋势,研究表明:社会、经济、土地城镇化在京津冀新型城镇化处于主导地位,城乡统筹、人口、生态城镇化作用不强,人口、经济、生态、城乡统筹处于不同程度增长趋势,生态城镇化增长凸显,土地、社会城镇化处于小幅下降;京津冀整体新型城镇化及协调发展程度处于增长趋势,天津增幅最大,石家庄、邯郸、沧州次之,北京、衡水、唐山略显滞后性;京津冀新型城镇化空间上呈现由弱分化到随机分布,再到缓慢集聚的变化过程,而协调发展程度呈现由强分化到弱分化,再到随机分布的变化过程;以石家庄为分界线的京津冀北部新型城镇化水平高于京津冀南部,新型城镇化高值区格局由"北京单核"转向"北京-天津双核";协调发展度高值区位于以北京-天津双核心区域,以承德和张家口为核心、衡水-邢台-邯郸-安阳相串联区域为低值区。
[Abstract]:From the aspects of population, economy, land, society, ecological urbanization and urban and rural planning, this paper constructs a new urbanization evaluation system of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, and measures the weight of indexes by entropy weighting method, and uses the degree of coordinated development to correlate with spatial autocorrelation. This paper discusses the temporal and spatial trends of the new urbanization and the coordinated development of various types of urbanization in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei during the 10 years from 2003 to 2012. The results show that the society, economy and land urbanization play a leading role in the new type of urbanization in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. Urban and rural planning, population, ecological urbanization role is not strong, population, economy, ecology, urban and rural overall planning in varying degrees of growth trend, ecological urbanization growth highlights, land, social urbanization in a small decline; The overall level of new urbanization and coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is in the increasing trend, Tianjin has the largest growth rate, Shijiazhuang, Handan, Cangzhou, Beijing, Hengshui, Tangshan slightly lag; The new urbanization of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei shows a process of change from weak differentiation to random distribution and then to slow agglomeration, while the degree of coordinated development changes from strong differentiation to weak differentiation and then to random distribution. The new urbanization level in the northern part of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is higher than that in the southern part of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, and the pattern of high-value area of new-type urbanization has changed from "Beijing single nucleus" to "Beijing-Tianjin double nucleus". The high value region of harmonious development is located in the double core area of Beijing-Tianjin, Chengde and Zhangjiakou as the core, Hengshui-Xingtai-Handan-Anyang phase series region as the low-value area.
【作者单位】：北京市社会科学院;北京林业大学;
【基金】：北京市社会科学院青年课题(编号:2016B3504)
【分类号】：F224;F299.27

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