河南省快速城镇化地区绿色发展研究

发布时间：2019-01-24 21:30

【摘要】：城镇化是经济社会发展到一定阶段的产物,随着改革开放的不断深化发展,河南省经济规模迅速增大,城镇化水平也得以显著提高。2005年末,河南省城镇化率为30.7%,整体进入快速城镇化阶段,2016年,河南省城镇化率达到了48.5%,已处在规模数量性城镇化和结构内涵型城镇化的临界点。由于河南省城镇化偏重规模增长,具有高耗能、高排放和快扩张的特征,城镇化的快速发展虽然能一定程度缓解就业压力,提高人们生活质量,但也会引起生产要素错配,造成过度城镇化。在城镇化地区环境污染和生态破坏问题日益凸显的同时,绿色发展理念逐渐由理论转化为实践,有中央下沉到地方,绿色发展曙光初现。在此背景下,论文从绿色发展、城镇化地区绿色发展和绿色发展理念下沉过程三个方面对现有文献进行整理,归纳分析后发现,当前对绿色发展的研究对象多为城镇化水平较高的城镇和地区且偏重理论研究,对河南省快速城镇化地区的绿色发展的研究较少,研究河南省快速城镇化地区绿色发展的影响因素有一定意义。论文在提出河南省快速城镇化地区划定具体标准,明确研究对象的基础上,采用理论分析法和频度分析法选取指标,建立河南省快速城镇化地区的绿色发展评价指标体系,引入计量经济学模型,运用2010-2014年的面板数据,对河南省快速城镇化地区绿色发展的主要影响因素进行回归分析。为避免伪回归,确保结果的科学合理,论文对面板数据进行单位根检验和协方差检验,并依据数据特点将回归设定为变截距固定效应模型。回归结果显示,固定资产投资与人均绿地面积和人均GDP的变动负相关,与河南省当前快速城镇化地区绿色发展水平不相适应;人均二氧化硫排放量、人均烟尘排放量、第三产业就业人员占比、从业人员数、供电量、人均水资源和人均GDP的变动正相关,与河南省快速城镇化地区绿色发展水平基本适应。最后,论文依据回归结果,从转变经济发展方式,优化产业结构,稳定城市绿色发展政策倾斜,健全生态保护评价指标体系,开发利用新能源等方面,为河南省城镇化地区绿色发展提出政策建议。
[Abstract]:Urbanization is the product of economic and social development to a certain stage. With the continuous deepening of reform and opening up, the economic scale of Henan Province has increased rapidly, and the level of urbanization has been significantly improved. At the end of 2005, the urbanization rate in Henan Province was 30.7. In 2016, the urbanization rate of Henan Province has reached 48.5%, which is already at the critical point of scale and quantity urbanization and structural connotation type urbanization. As the urbanization of Henan Province is characterized by high energy consumption, high emission and rapid expansion, the rapid development of urbanization can alleviate employment pressure and improve people's quality of life to a certain extent, but it will also cause mismatch of factors of production. Cause excessive urbanization. At the same time the environmental pollution and ecological destruction in the urbanization area are becoming more and more prominent. At the same time the concept of green development is gradually transformed from theory to practice with the central government sinking to the local areas and the dawn of green development appearing at the beginning. Under this background, the paper collates the existing literature from three aspects: green development, urbanization area green development and the process of green development concept sinking. At present, most of the research objects of green development are towns and regions with high urbanization level and emphasis on theory, but there are few researches on green development in rapid urbanization areas in Henan Province. It is of certain significance to study the influencing factors of green development in the rapid urbanization area of Henan Province. On the basis of proposing the specific criteria of rapid urbanization in Henan province and defining the research object, the paper establishes the evaluation index system of green development in the rapid urbanization area of Henan Province by using the theoretical analysis method and the frequency analysis method to select the index. This paper introduces econometrics model and applies panel data from 2010 to 2014 to make regression analysis on the main influencing factors of green development in rapidly urbanized areas of Henan Province. In order to avoid pseudo-regression and ensure the scientific and reasonable results, this paper carries out unit root test and covariance test for panel data, and sets the regression as variable intercept fixed effect model according to the characteristics of the data. The regression results show that the fixed asset investment is negatively correlated with the change of per capita green space area and per capita GDP, and is not suitable for the current green development level in the rapidly urbanizing areas of Henan Province. The changes of sulfur dioxide emissions per capita, smoke emissions per capita, employment ratio of tertiary industry, the number of employees, electricity supply, per capita water resources and GDP per capita are positively correlated, which is basically adapted to the green development level in the rapidly urbanizing areas of Henan Province. Finally, according to the regression results, the paper changes the mode of economic development, optimizes the industrial structure, stabilizes the urban green development policy, improves the evaluation index system of ecological protection, and develops and uses new energy. Put forward the policy suggestion for the green development of the urbanization area of Henan Province.
【学位授予单位】：河南师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F299.27

【参考文献】