美国批准IMF2010改革方案的双层博弈分析

发布时间：2019-03-20 17:28

【摘要】：本文运用普特南的双层博弈理论,分别从国外、国内两个层次分析美国批准IMF改革方案。根据双层博弈理论,美国通过IMF2010改革方案过程可以大致分国际层次和国内层次;国际博弈是国际社会向美国政府施加压力的过程,主要围绕国际社会(G20、IMF、新兴大国代表中国)施压美国政府尽快批准IMF改革方案。而国内博弈主要围绕美国政府获得国会批准的过程,主要是美国政府要求美国国会批准IMF改革方案之间展开的。通过这两个层次的博弈中,深入了解影响美国政府批准IMF改革方案的过程中相互影响的国内和国际因素。本文首先梳理双层博弈理论,之后对IMF2010年改革方案的背景、内容与过程展开介绍。并在此基础上根据普特南的双层博弈理论,对影响美国政府批准IMF改革方案的国外和国内因素分别进行分析,这将有助于了解和理解推动美国主导的国际金融体系改革的内在联系,特别是美国国内政治状况对其的影响。同时这一帮助我们更全面深刻地把握和理解美国对外政策的影响因素及动态过程。从而制定更为有效的对美国主导的国际体系和全球治理的变革的应对策略同时,本文的研究表明,对于深入理解国内政治和国际政治的互动关系,双层博弈理论给我们提供一个较为恰当的理论分析框架。
[Abstract]:Based on Putnam's two-level game theory, this paper analyzes the IMF reform plan approved by the United States from two levels: foreign and domestic. According to the double-level game theory, the United States can be divided into international level and domestic level through the process of IMF2010 reform. The international game is a process in which the international community puts pressure on the US government, mainly around the pressure of the international community (G20, IMF, the emerging powers on behalf of China) to pressure the US government to approve the IMF reform plan as soon as possible. The domestic game mainly revolves around the process of the United States government getting the approval of the Congress, mainly between the United States government asking the United States Congress to approve the reform plan of the IMF. Through these two levels of game, we deeply understand the domestic and international factors that influence each other in the process of American government's approval of the IMF reform plan. This paper first combs the double-level game theory, and then introduces the background, content and process of IMF2010's annual reform plan. On this basis, according to Putnam's two-level game theory, this paper analyzes the foreign and domestic factors that affect the United States government's approval of the IMF reform plan. This will help to understand and understand the internal links that drive the reform of the US-led international financial system, especially the impact of domestic political conditions on it. At the same time, this helps us to grasp and understand the influencing factors and dynamic process of American foreign policy more comprehensively and deeply. In order to formulate a more effective response strategy to the United States-led international system and the changes in global governance, the research in this paper shows that, for in-depth understanding of the interaction between domestic and international politics, The double-level game theory provides us with a more appropriate theoretical analysis framework.
【学位授予单位】：上海社会科学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F224.32;F821

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