“全面两孩”政策后我国养老金供需矛盾的化解

发布时间：2018-05-20 06:59

本文选题：“全面两孩”政策 + 人口年龄结构　；参考：《南京社会科学》2016年08期

【摘要】：本文针对我国人口年龄结构失衡带来的养老金供需矛盾突出问题展开分析,在探讨近年来我国养老金供给侧的结构性调整对保持养老金供需持续平衡甚至略有结余发挥作用的基础上,客观辩证地分析了保证养老金供需可持续平衡的各种可借鉴性措施及其利弊,进而认为"全面两孩"政策调整人口结构后,我国养老金供求关系将呈现宽口径U字形变化趋势。据此,本文提出基于人口年龄结构的未来可能走向,面对养老金需求侧的刚性扩张特点,有必要对养老金供给侧进行战略性规划,分阶段、分步骤地走出一条从非人口化支持模式到人口结构内部优化机制的供需矛盾化解路径。
[Abstract]:This paper analyzes the contradiction between supply and demand of pension caused by the imbalance of population age structure in China. On the basis of discussing the effect of the structural adjustment on the supply side of China's pension in recent years on maintaining the balance of pension supply and demand and even a slight balance, This paper analyzes objectively and dialectically various kinds of referential measures to ensure the sustainable balance of pension supply and demand and their advantages and disadvantages, and then points out that after adjusting the population structure by the policy of "comprehensive two-child", the relationship between supply and demand of pension in China will show a trend of wide caliber U-shaped change. Based on this, this paper puts forward that the future trend of the population age structure, facing the rigid expansion characteristics of the demand side of pension, it is necessary to carry on the strategic planning to the supply side of the pension in stages. Step by step walk out a way to resolve the contradiction between supply and demand from demography support mode to internal optimization mechanism of population structure.
【作者单位】：吉林大学哲学社会学院;
【基金】：教育部青年规划基金项目“‘全面两孩’政策对化解养老风险的影响研究(16YJC840016)” 吉林省社科基金重点项目“制度新常态下吉林省养老金管理模式创新研究(2015A14)”的阶段性成果
【分类号】：F842.67

【相似文献】