城乡居民养老保险、流动意愿与农村二孩生育意愿

发布时间：2018-06-12 12:55

本文选题：城乡居民养老保险 + 流动意愿　；参考：《四川师范大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年06期

【摘要】：使用中山大学2014年CLDS(中国劳动力动态调查数据)的微观数据构建Probit模型,采用分样本回归法研究城乡居民养老保险、流动意愿与二孩生育意愿的关系,结果显示流动意愿、城乡居民养老保险对二孩生育意愿都有显著的负向影响;将社区是否有老年活动室和医院或诊所两个变量作为工具变量分析,结果显示城乡居民养老保险的投保将使二孩生育意愿下降19.9%,流动意愿每上升1个单位,二孩生育意愿降低4.78%;进而提出了优化养老保险产品以提倡多元化养老模式,促进城乡公共服务均等化以减轻农民的生计成本及负担,提升生育者的个人综合能力以增强其对生育成本的负担力,积极创建安全社区以增强邻里关系和谐度等政策建议。
[Abstract]:Using the microcosmic data of CLDS2014 from Sun Yat-sen University to construct probit model, the paper uses the method of sample regression to study the relationship between urban and rural residents' pension insurance, the relationship between mobility and the desire to have children. The pension insurance of urban and rural residents has a significant negative effect on the willingness of the second child to bear children. Whether there are two variables in the community, such as geriatric activity room and hospital or clinic, is analyzed as a tool variable. The results show that the insurance of urban and rural residents' pension insurance will decrease the desire of second child fertility by 19.9. the increase of mobility will increase by one unit, and the willingness of second child's fertility will be reduced by 4.78.Then, it is proposed to optimize the pension insurance products to advocate the diversified pension model. To promote the equalization of urban and rural public services in order to reduce the farmers' livelihood costs and burdens, to enhance the comprehensive ability of the individual fertility to enhance their affordability of reproductive costs, to actively create a safe community to enhance the harmonious degree of neighborhood relations and other policy recommendations.
【作者单位】：四川农业大学经济学院;
【分类号】：C924.21;F842.67

【相似文献】