中国城乡居民社会养老保险制度模式识别、目标优化和政策路径选择研究
发布时间：2018-07-20 15:45
【摘要】：党的十八大报告明确指出：在“统筹推进城乡社会保障体系建设”中,要坚持“全覆盖、保基本、多层次、可持续”的12字方针；“以增强公平性、适应流动性、保证可持续性为重点”,全面建成覆盖城乡居民的社会保障体系”。本文正是在此背景下展开研究的,对我国城乡居民社会养老保险制度政策,提出进一步完善和可持续发展的战略。本文在全面文献回顾和国内外城乡居民社会养老保险全覆盖推进的综述基础上,对我国城乡居民社会养老保险制度的现状加以研究(第2章),基于我国人口的快速老龄化和人口的高位城市化发展视角,凝练出我国具有动态发展的、多层次和多支柱的社会养老保险政策完善的方法论。具体体现在基于城乡居民社会养老保险制度基础理论研究,提出“具有激励适度普惠型”模式是制度优化模式,在此基础上提出我国城乡居民社会养老保险制度的可持续发展目标(第3章),并在科学假设和充分的数据清洗、挖掘基础上(第4章),构建中国城乡居民社会养老保险制度仿真系统(第5章),使得政策的动态路径仿真成为可能。其后本论文重点讨论了中国城乡居民社会养老保险制度仿真系统的运算结果,尤其是通过引入制度优化模式后比较考虑城镇化前后的运营状况预测结果,得出主要研究结论(第6章),包括中国城乡养老保险制度优化模式理论在制度上可行、财政上可支撑、风险可控,中国城乡居民养老保障的仿真系统是有效的等,在此基础上,本论文提出了基于制度优化模式的中国城乡居民社会养老保险制度的政策路径选择“三步走”战略,并给出了政策建议(第7章)。本文主要创新之处在于：一是理论创新,基于我国人口的快速老龄化和人口的高位城市化发展视角,依据相关基础理论,提出城乡居民社会养老保险政策完善的制度优化理论；二技术创新,基于制度参量调整优于结构调整的原则,将社会养老保险制度的内外生变量和参数、目标和发展模式进行科学化、“动态性与精准化和精确化”的统一方法论及智能化政策仿真系统构建；三是政策创新,针对中国城乡居民社会养老保险制度未来发展方向,凝练出我国具有动态发展的、多层次和多支柱的优化目标和政策路径选择“三步走”战略。
[Abstract]:The report of the 18th National Congress of the Party clearly pointed out: in "comprehensively promoting the construction of the urban and rural social security system," the 12-character policy of "full coverage, basic protection, multi-level and sustainable" should be adhered to; "in order to enhance fairness and adapt to mobility," To ensure sustainability as the focus ", to build a comprehensive coverage of urban and rural residents of the social security system." It is under this background that this paper studies the policy of social old-age insurance system for urban and rural residents in China, and puts forward the strategy of further improvement and sustainable development. On the basis of a comprehensive literature review and a review of the full coverage of social endowment insurance for urban and rural residents at home and abroad, The present situation of social endowment insurance system for urban and rural residents in China is studied (Chapter 2). Based on the rapid aging of the population and the high urbanization development of the population, the paper condenses the dynamic development of our country. Multi-level and multi-pillar social endowment insurance policy perfect methodology. Based on the research of the basic theory of social endowment insurance system for urban and rural residents, this paper puts forward that the model of "with incentives and moderate inclusiveness" is the mode of system optimization. On this basis, the sustainable development goal of the social endowment insurance system for urban and rural residents in China is put forward (Chapter 3), and the scientific assumptions and sufficient data cleaning are given. On the basis of mining (chapter 4), the simulation system of Chinese urban and rural residents' social old-age insurance system (chapter 5) is constructed, which makes the dynamic path simulation of policy possible. Then this paper focuses on the calculation results of the simulation system of the social endowment insurance system for urban and rural residents in China, especially through the introduction of the system optimization model to compare and consider the forecast results of the operation status before and after urbanization. The main research conclusions (Chapter 6), including the theory of the optimization mode of the urban and rural endowment insurance system in China is feasible, the financial support is feasible, the risk is controllable, the simulation system of the Chinese urban and rural residents' pension security is effective and so on, on this basis, This paper puts forward the "three-step" strategy of the policy path selection of China's urban and rural residents' social old-age insurance system based on the system optimization model, and gives policy recommendations (Chapter 7). The main innovations of this paper are as follows: first, theoretical innovation, based on the rapid aging of the population and the high urbanization development perspective of the population, according to the relevant basic theory, put forward the perfect system optimization theory of urban and rural residents' social endowment insurance policy; Based on the principle that the adjustment of system parameters is superior to that of structural adjustment, the internal and external variables, parameters, objectives and development models of the social endowment insurance system are scientifically transformed. The unified methodology and intelligent policy simulation system of "dynamic and precision" are constructed. Thirdly, the policy innovation, aiming at the future development direction of China's urban and rural residents' social endowment insurance system, condenses out the dynamic development of our country. Multi-level and multi-pillar optimization objectives and policy path selection "three-step" strategy.
【学位授予单位】：浙江大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F842.67
本文编号：2134017
[Abstract]:The report of the 18th National Congress of the Party clearly pointed out: in "comprehensively promoting the construction of the urban and rural social security system," the 12-character policy of "full coverage, basic protection, multi-level and sustainable" should be adhered to; "in order to enhance fairness and adapt to mobility," To ensure sustainability as the focus ", to build a comprehensive coverage of urban and rural residents of the social security system." It is under this background that this paper studies the policy of social old-age insurance system for urban and rural residents in China, and puts forward the strategy of further improvement and sustainable development. On the basis of a comprehensive literature review and a review of the full coverage of social endowment insurance for urban and rural residents at home and abroad, The present situation of social endowment insurance system for urban and rural residents in China is studied (Chapter 2). Based on the rapid aging of the population and the high urbanization development of the population, the paper condenses the dynamic development of our country. Multi-level and multi-pillar social endowment insurance policy perfect methodology. Based on the research of the basic theory of social endowment insurance system for urban and rural residents, this paper puts forward that the model of "with incentives and moderate inclusiveness" is the mode of system optimization. On this basis, the sustainable development goal of the social endowment insurance system for urban and rural residents in China is put forward (Chapter 3), and the scientific assumptions and sufficient data cleaning are given. On the basis of mining (chapter 4), the simulation system of Chinese urban and rural residents' social old-age insurance system (chapter 5) is constructed, which makes the dynamic path simulation of policy possible. Then this paper focuses on the calculation results of the simulation system of the social endowment insurance system for urban and rural residents in China, especially through the introduction of the system optimization model to compare and consider the forecast results of the operation status before and after urbanization. The main research conclusions (Chapter 6), including the theory of the optimization mode of the urban and rural endowment insurance system in China is feasible, the financial support is feasible, the risk is controllable, the simulation system of the Chinese urban and rural residents' pension security is effective and so on, on this basis, This paper puts forward the "three-step" strategy of the policy path selection of China's urban and rural residents' social old-age insurance system based on the system optimization model, and gives policy recommendations (Chapter 7). The main innovations of this paper are as follows: first, theoretical innovation, based on the rapid aging of the population and the high urbanization development perspective of the population, according to the relevant basic theory, put forward the perfect system optimization theory of urban and rural residents' social endowment insurance policy; Based on the principle that the adjustment of system parameters is superior to that of structural adjustment, the internal and external variables, parameters, objectives and development models of the social endowment insurance system are scientifically transformed. The unified methodology and intelligent policy simulation system of "dynamic and precision" are constructed. Thirdly, the policy innovation, aiming at the future development direction of China's urban and rural residents' social endowment insurance system, condenses out the dynamic development of our country. Multi-level and multi-pillar optimization objectives and policy path selection "three-step" strategy.
【学位授予单位】：浙江大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F842.67
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前10条
1 吴鹏森;现代社会保障制度建设中的三个理论问题[J];安徽师范大学学报(人文社会科学版);2005年01期
2 叶欣;;东欧的社会保障制度转型[J];世界博览;2009年05期
3 胡豹;卫新;;国外农村社会养老保障的实践比较与启示[J];商业研究;2006年07期
4 何平;;城乡统筹中的社会保障[J];中国劳动保障;2006年09期
5 刘昌平;谢婷;;基金积累制应用于新型农村社会养老保险制度的可行性研究[J];财经理论与实践;2009年06期
6 李敏;;完善社会保障制度 保护新时期的弱势群体[J];成人教育;2006年01期
7 李文娜;;制度变迁视角下的新型农村社会养老保险制度[J];当代经济;2010年23期
8 王黎明;;建立健全我国农村社会养老保险制度必要性和可行性分析[J];地方财政研究;2007年06期
9 关信平;;论我国社会保障制度一体化建设的意义及相关政策[J];东岳论丛;2011年05期
10 张德元;论社会保障的“城乡统筹”与“城乡统一”[J];调研世界;2004年02期
相关会议论文 前1条
1 王延中;;建立基础整合的社会养老保障制度体系[A];第七届中国改革论坛论文集[C];2009年
，本文编号：2134017
本文链接：https://www.wllwen.com/jingjilunwen/bxjjlw/2134017.html
