我国养老保障政策与财政稳定性的动态模拟研究
发布时间：2018-11-23 12:41
【摘要】：西方国家接连爆发的债务危机凸显了老龄化社会下巨额养老金负担对于财政稳定性的不利影响,我国日趋严重的老龄化趋势以及养老保障政策转轨的不彻底性必将给财政稳定性带来负面影响。本文通过构建基于老龄化影响的财政稳定性模型,实证分析未来我国财政的稳定性。分析结果表明:2009年实施的"新农保"政策对未来财政稳定性的影响不显著;养老保障政策转轨不彻底性使我国财政面临长期不稳定性。针对此,本文提出应加快机关事业单位养老改革进程、通过多种方式补充空账以及增加资本市场投资以提高养老金收益等建议。
[Abstract]:The successive debt crises in western countries have highlighted the negative impact of the huge pension burden on fiscal stability in an aging society. The trend of aging and the inthoroughness of pension policy will bring negative influence to the financial stability in China. Based on the model of financial stability based on aging, this paper empirically analyzes the future financial stability of China. The results show that the "New Rural Insurance" policy implemented in 2009 has no significant impact on the future financial stability, and that the transition of the old-age security policy makes our country's finance face long-term instability. In view of this, this paper puts forward some suggestions, such as speeding up the process of pension reform in institutions, replenishing empty accounts in various ways and increasing capital market investment in order to increase pension returns.
【作者单位】： 吉林大学数量经济研究中心;吉林大学商学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究项目(11YJA790117) 国家社会科学基金重点项目(12AZD021) 吉林省社会科学规划基金资助项目(2012B05)
【分类号】：F842.6;F812;F224
[Abstract]:The successive debt crises in western countries have highlighted the negative impact of the huge pension burden on fiscal stability in an aging society. The trend of aging and the inthoroughness of pension policy will bring negative influence to the financial stability in China. Based on the model of financial stability based on aging, this paper empirically analyzes the future financial stability of China. The results show that the "New Rural Insurance" policy implemented in 2009 has no significant impact on the future financial stability, and that the transition of the old-age security policy makes our country's finance face long-term instability. In view of this, this paper puts forward some suggestions, such as speeding up the process of pension reform in institutions, replenishing empty accounts in various ways and increasing capital market investment in order to increase pension returns.
【作者单位】： 吉林大学数量经济研究中心;吉林大学商学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究项目(11YJA790117) 国家社会科学基金重点项目(12AZD021) 吉林省社会科学规划基金资助项目(2012B05)
【分类号】：F842.6;F812;F224
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相关期刊论文 前10条
1 尹恒;黄R，
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