基于ANP的行业运行安全评估指标体系研究
发布时间：2019-04-30 17:42
【摘要】：基本养老保险制度的健康安全运行是我国社会保障事业平稳持续发展的重要前提,也是促进国家安定、社会和睦和人民幸福的关键所在。因此,运用科学有效的评估技术对国家现行养老体制的实际执行状况进行客观、切合实际的评判,已经显得极为重要和紧迫,并且对于进一步优化和完善我们国家的社会保障机制有着极其重要的现实意义。本文首先通过文献研究法,重点探究了养老保险领域评价指标体系的研究现状,并综合专家经验选取出了 14项指标元素,构成了本文的评估指标体系。接着详细论述了网络层次分析技术的相关知识,在领域专家的指导下分析了体系指标间的关联关系,给出了基于该方法建立的养老保险运行安全评估ANP模型,并据此分析量化了各项指标的具体权重值,作为衡量各项指标对评估体系而言影响力大小的标度。除此以外,通过分析和比较常用的多指标综合评估技术,本文提出了将因子分析和熵值分析进行有机结合的综合评估方法,给出了标准差标准化算法和计算因子权重算法,并以我国31个省份的基本养老保险制度数据作为实验数据,分析得到各省养老保险运行安全情况的综合得分,从而对我国现行养老保险制度的运行安全性进行了评估。通过实验分析,验证了本文提出的综合评估方法的合理性和有效性,并且对于其它社会保险险种及其它领域的制度研究均具有一定的借鉴价值。
[Abstract]:The healthy and safe operation of the basic old-age insurance system is an important prerequisite for the steady and sustainable development of the social security cause in our country, and also the key to promoting national stability, social harmony and the happiness of the people. Therefore, it is very important and urgent to make an objective and realistic evaluation on the actual implementation of the current national pension system by using scientific and effective assessment techniques. And for further optimizing and perfecting our country's social security mechanism has the extremely important realistic significance. Firstly, through the literature research method, this paper focuses on the research status of the evaluation index system in the field of old-age insurance, and selects 14 index elements to form the evaluation index system of this paper by synthesizing the experience of the experts. Then the related knowledge of network analytic hierarchy process (AHP) technology is discussed in detail. Under the guidance of domain experts, the correlation relationship among the system indexes is analyzed, and the ANP model based on this method for the safety assessment of the operation of endowment insurance is given. Based on this analysis, the weight value of each index is quantified, as a scale to measure the influence of each index on the evaluation system. In addition, through the analysis and comparison of the commonly used multi-index comprehensive evaluation techniques, this paper proposes a comprehensive evaluation method combining factor analysis and entropy analysis, and gives the standard deviation standardization algorithm and the calculation factor weight algorithm. Taking the data of the basic old-age insurance system in 31 provinces as the experimental data, the comprehensive scores of the operation security of the old-age insurance in each province are analyzed, and the operational security of the current endowment insurance system in our country is evaluated. Through the experimental analysis, the rationality and effectiveness of the comprehensive evaluation method proposed in this paper are verified, and it has certain reference value for the system research of other kinds of social insurance and other fields.
【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨工程大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F842.67
本文编号：2468915
[Abstract]:The healthy and safe operation of the basic old-age insurance system is an important prerequisite for the steady and sustainable development of the social security cause in our country, and also the key to promoting national stability, social harmony and the happiness of the people. Therefore, it is very important and urgent to make an objective and realistic evaluation on the actual implementation of the current national pension system by using scientific and effective assessment techniques. And for further optimizing and perfecting our country's social security mechanism has the extremely important realistic significance. Firstly, through the literature research method, this paper focuses on the research status of the evaluation index system in the field of old-age insurance, and selects 14 index elements to form the evaluation index system of this paper by synthesizing the experience of the experts. Then the related knowledge of network analytic hierarchy process (AHP) technology is discussed in detail. Under the guidance of domain experts, the correlation relationship among the system indexes is analyzed, and the ANP model based on this method for the safety assessment of the operation of endowment insurance is given. Based on this analysis, the weight value of each index is quantified, as a scale to measure the influence of each index on the evaluation system. In addition, through the analysis and comparison of the commonly used multi-index comprehensive evaluation techniques, this paper proposes a comprehensive evaluation method combining factor analysis and entropy analysis, and gives the standard deviation standardization algorithm and the calculation factor weight algorithm. Taking the data of the basic old-age insurance system in 31 provinces as the experimental data, the comprehensive scores of the operation security of the old-age insurance in each province are analyzed, and the operational security of the current endowment insurance system in our country is evaluated. Through the experimental analysis, the rationality and effectiveness of the comprehensive evaluation method proposed in this paper are verified, and it has certain reference value for the system research of other kinds of social insurance and other fields.
【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨工程大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F842.67
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