福建省水利投资效益研究

发布时间：2018-01-07 10:34

本文关键词：福建省水利投资效益研究　出处：《福州大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：本文立足于福建省,在结合前人研究成果的基础上,从模型分析的角度入手,通过对水利投资的直接效益和间接效益的分析以及综合效益的评价,全面的分析了福建省水资源的开发利用情况,通过环境效益、经济效益、社会效益对水利投入效益进行了综合评价,然后通过实证方法来验证模型。研究水利工程投资的直接效益应用的是因子分析法建模,水利工程投资的间接效益分析应用的是误差修正模型,为了得到水利投资对产业结构变动的间接效益建立了线性回归模型,水利投资对城市化的间接效益应用的是VAR(p)模型,水利工程投资效益评价的综合分析涵盖于四大效益中即经济效益、社会效益、环境质量、环境治理等,因此,综合效益评价模型有社会经济效益和生态环境效益评价模型、水利投资利用综合效益指数评价模型、水利投资利用协调性评价模型、水利投资利用协调发展模型和耦合度模型。本研究中所用到的原始数据均来自于福建省统计局发布的统计年鉴以及福建省水利厅发布的各年度水利公报,具有可靠性。水利的投资综合效益评价表明,社会经济效益和生态环境效益指数,以及两者之间的协调度,协调发展度和耦合度均呈平稳或上升的趋势。说明福建省社会经济发展速度明显,生态环境势态良好,经济发展的同时没有对生态环境造成破坏,水利投资利用呈现正向发展的趋势,经济的发展没有破坏到生态环境,反而相互促进相互发展,水利投资综合利用效益显著。同时,本文还针对一些不足,为以后合理化该区域的水利项目投资以及提高相关效益提出建议。
[Abstract]:This article is based on Fujian Province, on the basis of previous research, starting from the view of model analysis, through the evaluation and analysis of water conservancy investment benefits and indirect benefits and comprehensive benefits, comprehensive analysis of the development and utilization of water resources in Fujian Province, through the environmental benefits, economic benefits, social benefits of the comprehensive evaluation of water conservancy investment benefit, and then through the empirical method to verify the model. The application of direct benefit of water conservancy project investment is the factor analysis model, analysis the indirect benefits of investment of water conservancy project is the application of error correction model, in order to get water conservancy investment to establish a linear regression model of the indirect benefits of the change of industrial structure, the application of indirect benefits the city of water conservancy investment is VAR (P) model, a comprehensive analysis of the investment benefit evaluation of water conservancy project covers four major benefits in economic benefit, Social benefits, environmental quality, environmental governance, therefore, the comprehensive benefit evaluation model of social economic benefit and ecological benefit evaluation model of water conservancy investment utilization index evaluation model of water conservancy investment utilization coordination evaluation model, the coordinated development of water conservancy investment model and coupling model. The annual bulletin of water conservancy, statistical yearbook data used in this study are from the Fujian Provincial Bureau of statistics released by the Fujian Provincial Department of water conservancy and released with reliability. Show that the comprehensive evaluation of water conservancy investment benefit, social benefit and ecological environment benefit index, coordination degree and coordinated development degree between the two, and the coupling degree were stable or rising trend. Fujian province social economy development speed obviously, ecological environment and economic development situation is good, does not damage the ecological environment, water conservancy investment utilization The positive trend of economic development, no damage to the ecological environment, but the mutual development and utilization efficiency of water conservancy investment significantly. At the same time, this paper also addresses some deficiencies, for the rationalization of the region water conservancy project investment and improve the efficiency of the relevant recommendations.

【学位授予单位】：福州大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.91

【参考文献】