FDI在我国汽车产业的技术溢出效应研究

发布时间：2018-03-02 16:46

本文选题：汽车产业　切入点：外商直接投资　出处：《浙江大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：对FDI技术溢出效应的研究,主要集中在国民经济宏观行业层面,而研究的主要类型也主要为行业内的溢出,即水平溢出,而对单个行业的研究较少。汽车行业作为关联性极强的战略性支柱产业,研究FDI在该行业的技术溢出具有重要意义。本文在前人研究的基础上,采用理论分析和实证相结合的方法,探究FDI对我国汽车产业的具体影响,并且区分了垂直溢出和水平溢出。首先对汽车行业的行业特征、产品分类以及其关联行业进行简单概括,并回顾了FDI在我国汽车行业的发展；其次通过理论分析阐明FDI进入后对我国汽车产业的影响机制,并运用实证模型具体分析了FDI对我国汽车产业的影响因素和程度,实证模型以劳动生产率模型为基础,通过Johansen检验确立协整关系后回归,并通过误差修正模型考察各变量的短期变动效应,然后通过格兰杰检验考察了各个变量之间的因果关系；最后根据分析结果为我国政府和企业提出了政策建议。研究结果表明,FDI的进入在总体上对我国汽车产业产生了正向的溢出效应。其中,水平溢出效应包括方向相反的两种发生机制：外资行业参与度的提高会产生正向溢出；而外资企业技术水平的提高则会产生负向溢出,主要由于挤出效应的发生。垂直溢出效应明显,这要归因于汽车产业很强的产业关联性；前向垂直溢出效应小于后向垂直溢出效应,这一方面是因为与汽车行业关联的上游产业大多是重工业,产值占比较大；另一方面是因为汽车作为最终消费品进入中国普通家庭只是最近几十年的时间,汽车产业下游的溢出效应还没有完全释放。
[Abstract]:The research on FDI technology spillover effect is mainly focused on the macro-industry level of national economy, and the main types of research are mainly intra-industry spillover, that is horizontal spillover. As a strategic pillar industry with strong relevance, it is of great significance to study the technology spillover of FDI in this industry. By combining theoretical analysis and empirical analysis, this paper explores the specific impact of FDI on China's automobile industry, and distinguishes vertical spillover from horizontal spillover. Product classification and its related industries are briefly summarized, and the development of FDI in China's automobile industry is reviewed. Secondly, the influence mechanism of FDI on China's automobile industry is explained through theoretical analysis. The empirical model is used to analyze the influence factors and degree of FDI on China's automobile industry. The empirical model is based on the labor productivity model and establishes the cointegration relationship after regression through Johansen test. The short-term variation effect of each variable is investigated by error correction model, and the causality between the variables is investigated by Granger test. Finally, policy recommendations are put forward for Chinese government and enterprises according to the analysis results. The results show that FDI entry has a positive spillover effect on China's automobile industry in general. The horizontal spillover effect includes two mechanisms of opposite direction: the increase of foreign investment industry participation will result in positive spillover; On the other hand, the improvement of technology level of foreign-funded enterprises will produce negative spillover, mainly due to the occurrence of extrusion effect. The vertical spillover effect is obvious, which can be attributed to the strong industrial relevance of automobile industry. The forward vertical spillover effect is smaller than the backward vertical spillover effect. On the one hand, the upstream industry associated with the automobile industry is mostly heavy industry, and the output value is relatively large. Another reason is that the downstream spillover effect of the auto industry has not been fully released since the automobile entered ordinary Chinese households as the final consumer goods only in recent decades.
【学位授予单位】：浙江大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.6;F426.471

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