南宁C公司埃塞俄比亚K糖厂项目风险管理分析与研究

发布时间：2018-03-02 22:03

本文选题：埃塞俄比亚　切入点：糖厂项目　出处：《广西大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着中国经济实力的增强,以及“走出去”发展战略的实施,越来越多的国内大型企业逐步向亚非拉等技术较为落后的第三世界国家和地区开拓市场,进行国际工程的承包。但是由于国际工程项目许多方面存在着不确定性的因素,要避免这些风险因素,提高企业抵抗风险的能力,这就需要对国际工程进行风险的管理,研究国际工程建设中会出现何种类型的风险；出现的风险以什么样的形式影响着项目,以及出现的风险概率大小和影响程度怎么样；如何界定哪种风险是最危险的风险；采取什么样的措施可以将风险事件的影响最小化降到最低；风险出现后应采取什么样的风险应对措施；如何对风险进行预警及防范等等。我国很多国际工程承包企业无法回答出这些问题。因此本文站在国际工程公司的角度上,采用了风险识别’、风险分析、风险评估和风险控制措施等风险管理的理论和方法,结合埃塞俄比亚K糖厂工程项目的特点进行了系统的和较为透彻的研究。本文首先对国际工程风险的国内外研究的现状及成果；埃塞俄比亚K糖厂项目的概况；项目所在国埃塞俄比亚的概况和该项目的建设背景进行了介绍。然后应用项目风险管理理论中的文献调查法、问卷调查法、头脑风暴法及鱼刺图分析法对项目可能存在的风险进行了识别,识别出五大风险类别及二十个风险因素,同时对这些风险因素一一进行了详细的分析。随后运用层次分析法对分析出的风险因素进行了风险大小的评估,评估得出了三个对该项目影响较为严重的风险因素,最后针对该三个较为严重的风险因素完整地提出了相应的应对风险的方法和具体措施。本文的研究,是在对埃塞俄比亚K糖厂项目风险分析及应对的基础上,为国内希望走出国门去承担工程项目的工程公司,提供具有现实意义的参考,使国内的工程公司在非洲进行项目承包时可以尽量避免和减轻类似的风险。
[Abstract]:With the strengthening of China's economic strength and the implementation of the "going out" development strategy, more and more large domestic enterprises are gradually opening up their markets to the technologically backward third world countries and regions such as Asia, Africa and Latin America. But because there are many uncertain factors in many aspects of international engineering projects, in order to avoid these risk factors and improve the ability of enterprises to resist risks, it is necessary to manage the risks of international projects. This paper studies what types of risks will occur in international engineering construction, what forms of risks will affect the project, and how to define which risks are the most dangerous risks, and how to determine the probability and extent of the risks. What measures can be taken to minimize the impact of risk events; Many international engineering contractors in China can not answer these questions. Therefore, this paper, from the perspective of international engineering companies, adopts risk identification, risk analysis, and so on. Theories and methods of risk management, such as risk assessment and risk control measures, Based on the characteristics of Ethiopia's K Sugar Plant Project, this paper makes a systematic and thorough study. Firstly, the present situation and results of the international engineering risk research at home and abroad, the general situation of Ethiopia's K Sugar Factory Project, and the present situation of Ethiopia's K Sugar Factory Project are discussed. The general situation of Ethiopia, the country of the project, and the construction background of the project are introduced. Then, the method of literature survey and questionnaire survey are applied to the risk management theory of the project. The brainstorming method and the fish-prick-chart analysis method identify the possible risks in the project and identify five major risk categories and 20 risk factors. At the same time, these risk factors are analyzed in detail. Then, the risk factors are evaluated by AHP, and three risk factors which have a serious impact on the project are obtained. Finally, according to the three more serious risk factors, the paper puts forward the corresponding methods and concrete measures to deal with the risk. The research in this paper is based on the risk analysis and response of the project of Ethiopia K Sugar Factory. This paper provides a practical reference for domestic engineering companies who wish to go abroad to undertake projects, so that domestic engineering companies can avoid and mitigate similar risks when contracting projects in Africa.
【学位授予单位】：广西大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F272.3;F426.82

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