如何更好地理解石油市场

发布时间：2018-03-25 22:27

  本文选题：石油价格　切入点：阴谋论　出处：《国际经济评论》2015年02期

【摘要】：正石油价格在过去六个月暴跌引发了广泛的讨论,其中不乏阴谋论。虽然这些解释都非常有创意而且有趣,但我们认为只有通过分析供给、需求、经济表现以及成本竞争力,才能更好地分析形势。很多人预测到强劲的供给增长,但我们认为最意外的因素是需求不足——每天的需求量低于某些预测60万桶左右。石油供给连续三年增长,这主要来自北美。但到2014年中,全球需求疲软已经非常明显。一旦需求供给相互作用,石
[Abstract]:Is the sharp fall in oil prices in the past six months has been widely discussed, including conspiracy theory. Although these explanations are very creative and interesting, but we believe that only through the analysis of supply and demand, economic performance and cost competitiveness, in order to better analyze the situation. Many people predicted that strong supply growth, but we think the accident is the lack of demand, the daily demand is lower than some predicted around 600 thousand barrels. Oil supply growth for three consecutive years, which mainly from North America. But by 2014, global demand has been very obvious. Once the demand supply interaction, stone

【作者单位】： 美国战略与国际研究中心(CSIS);
【分类号】：F416.22
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本文编号：1665128