J公司供应链风险预警机制构建的研究

发布时间：2018-04-02 05:09

本文选题：供应链　切入点：风险　出处：《福州大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着经济全球化的发展,企业间的竞争越来越看重的是企业所在供应链之间的竞争。企业实施供应链管理有利于增强自身核心竞争力、夺取战略发展优势,因此,越来越多的企业重视企业所在供应链的管理。供应链运营涉及商流、物流、资金流和信息流,加之供应链自身错综复杂的特点,其管理难度要远远大于单一的企业。在供应链运营过程中,某一环节风险造成的损失往往波及多个供应链成员企业。J公司属于传统的电子制造企业,其正常运行需要大量的供应链成员企业的配合。为能够在风险产生之前对其进行辨识、分析和控制,尽可能降低风险产生的概率,J公司需要构建一个完善的供应链风险预警机制。本文首先阐述了文章的研究背景和意义,综合文献,总结出供应链风险管理的研究主要集中在风险管理及分析、风险测评方法和供应链风险预警,并对这些研究进行简单评述,指出不足之处,最后描述了本文的研究思路；其次对供应链风险预警的相关理论和风险预警的方法进行阐述,介绍了供应链风险预警的内涵、意义、功能和理论基础。对目前运用于供应链风险预警的主要方法进行对比；然后介绍实例J公司及其供应链的运营现状,描述了J公司供应链运营的模式和特点,最后指出其存在的问题；接着提出供应链风险预警的结构和一般流程,通过风险辨识将供应链风险分为不可控风险和可控风险,从可控风险因素选取指标评价,确定J公司供应链风险预警指标体系；然后构建基于熵权和模糊识别构建了综合评价模型,采用问卷调查的方法对供应链风险指标进行打分,利用模型对这些风险进行测评,并对测评结果进行了简单分析；最后综合测评结果提出切实可行的风险处理建议,力求降低供应链风险产生的可能性,保证J公司供应链的正常运行。通过本文的研究得出：供应链风险是客观存在,单可以通过一定手段进行防范与控制；对可控风险进行测评,让供应链风险管理者直观了解自己可影响的因素,有利于风险防范与控制；基于熵权和模糊识别的综合评价模型对J公司供应链风险预警是可行的,具有较强的操作性和可靠性。
[Abstract]:With the development of economic globalization, the competition among enterprises is more and more important.The implementation of supply chain management is beneficial to enhance their core competitiveness and gain the advantage of strategic development. Therefore, more and more enterprises attach importance to the management of the supply chain in which the enterprise is located.Supply chain operation involves business flow, logistics, capital flow and information flow, in addition to the complex characteristics of supply chain itself, its management difficulty is far greater than that of a single enterprise.In the process of supply chain operation, the loss caused by a link risk often affects many supply chain member enterprises. J company belongs to the traditional electronic manufacturing enterprise, and its normal operation needs the cooperation of a large number of supply chain member enterprises.In order to identify, analyze and control the risk before it is generated, and to reduce the probability of risk generation as much as possible, the company needs to construct a perfect supply chain risk warning mechanism.Firstly, this paper expounds the research background and significance of the article, synthesizes the literature, summarizes that the research of supply chain risk management mainly focuses on risk management and analysis, risk assessment method and supply chain risk warning, and makes a brief comment on these studies.It points out the deficiency, and finally describes the research ideas of this paper. Secondly, the related theories and methods of supply chain risk early warning are expounded, and the connotation, significance, function and theoretical basis of supply chain risk warning are introduced.This paper compares the main methods used in supply chain risk warning, then introduces the current situation of J Company and its supply chain operation, describes the mode and characteristics of J Company's supply chain operation, and finally points out the existing problems.Then put forward the supply chain risk warning structure and general process, through risk identification, supply chain risk can be divided into uncontrollable risk and controllable risk, from controllable risk factors selection index evaluation, determine J company supply chain risk warning index system;Then, a comprehensive evaluation model based on entropy weight and fuzzy recognition is constructed, and the supply chain risk index is rated by questionnaire, and these risks are evaluated by the model, and the evaluation results are analyzed simply.Finally, the comprehensive evaluation results put forward practical and feasible risk treatment suggestions, in order to reduce the possibility of supply chain risk, and to ensure the normal operation of J company supply chain.Through the research of this paper, it is concluded that the supply chain risk is objective, can be prevented and controlled by certain means, the controllable risk can be evaluated, and the supply chain risk managers can understand the factors that they can affect directly.The comprehensive evaluation model based on entropy weight and fuzzy identification is feasible and has strong operability and reliability for supply chain risk early warning of J Company.
【学位授予单位】：福州大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.63;F274

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