中国化石能源消费碳排放环境影响的空间溢出效应

发布时间：2018-04-16 17:00

本文选题：能源消费 + 化石能源　；参考：《技术经济》2015年12期

【摘要】：在随机性环境影响评估模型的理论框架下,构建并推导了半参数空间动态面板数据模型,研究了中国30个省(自治区、直辖市)化石能源消费碳排放环境影响的空间溢出效应。研究结果如下:化石能源消费碳足迹较大的区块主要分布在中国北部地区和长三角地区,且局部区域的化石能源消费碳足迹呈减小趋势;化石能源消费碳排放的环境影响存在时间滞后效应和空间滞后效应,其中时间滞后效应为0.8850、空间滞后(溢出)效应为0.6517,两者的贡献差距达15.18%;东、中和西部地区的化石能源消费碳排放的环境影响存在较为明显的个体效应。
[Abstract]:Based on the stochastic environmental impact assessment model, a semi-parametric spatial dynamic panel data model is constructed and derived, and the spatial spillover effects of carbon emissions from fossil energy consumption in 30 provinces (autonomous regions, municipalities directly under the Central Government) of China are studied.The results are as follows: the large carbon footprint of fossil energy consumption is mainly distributed in northern China and Yangtze River Delta, and the carbon footprint of local fossil energy consumption tends to decrease;Time lag effect and spatial lag effect exist in the environmental impact of carbon emissions from fossil energy consumption, in which time lag effect is 0.8850, spatial lag effect is 0.6517, the contribution gap between them is 15.18.The environmental impact of carbon emissions from fossil energy consumption in the central and western regions has obvious individual effects.
【作者单位】：福州大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“半参数空间向量自回归模型的理论研究及其应用”(71171057);国家自然科学基金项目“半参数全局向量自回归模型的理论及应用”(71571046) 教育部人文社会科学基金项目“技术溢出视角的能源回弹效应及我国节能对策研究”(12CJY011) 福建省社会科学规划基金项目“技术进步和经济增长对能源碳排放的空间影响研究”(FJ2015C237)
【分类号】：F426.2;X24

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